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Why Tesla Stock Soared Ahead of Q2 Deliveries

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Actions of Tesla Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ:TSLA) has been on a comeback trail recently, and that continued on the first trading day of July. Shares of the leading electric vehicle (EV) maker were 5.5% higher as of 11:10 a.m. ET Monday morning. The stock is now up about 18% over the past month.

Today’s jump comes just a day before Tesla reports its second-quarter EV delivery data. While estimates have been trending lower, delivery reports from Chinese EV makers today have investors more optimistic about what the American company will say.

The important Chinese electric vehicle market

The Chinese EV market has been crucial for Tesla, whose most productive factory is in Shanghai. Today, several Chinese EV manufacturers reported strong deliveries in June and the second quarter. That could bode well for what Tesla has to share tomorrow.

Nio, I read the car, XPengIt’s the biggest BYD all showed annual growth in battery electric vehicle (BEV) sales for the quarter. The period appeared to end on a strong note, as Nio delivered a monthly record of 21,209 vehicles in June. That was nearly double what it shipped in June 2023.

Many EV watchers have been closely watching BYD, whose BEV volume is more in line with Tesla’s. BYD sold more than 426,000 all-electric vehicles in the second quarter, up about 21% from a year earlier.

Tesla analysts have been slashing estimates for its second-quarter sales, with the most recent projections averaging around 420,000 EVs. That would be down from about 466,000 delivered in the year-ago period. It would also be the second quarterly period in which BYD has surpassed Tesla to be the world’s biggest seller of EVs.

With China’s EV market seemingly recovering, this could result in Tesla beating estimates. Even after this data is released, though, shareholders will want to continue paying attention to what happens next. Tesla says about profit margin when it releases its full second-quarter financial report. If sales in China are coming at reduced prices, the rise in its shares may be short-lived.

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Howard Smith has positions in BYD Company, Nio, Tesla, and XPeng. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends BYD Company, Nio, and Tesla. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Why Tesla Stock Soared Ahead of Q2 Deliveries was originally published by The Motley Fool

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