News
The big battle over whether to snatch Russia’s billions
When Russia invaded Ukraine in February 2022, it had about $300 billion in central bank assets that were carried out outside Russia. Most of this money was invested in assets denominated in euros, dollars or pounds sterling.
A US-led coalition will promptly imposed a series of sanctions on Russia intended to isolate its financial system and deprive Russia of the capital needed to carry out its war. The sanctions essentially froze that $300 billion, preventing Russia from exploiting its own assets.
With the war in Ukraine in its third year and experts predicting it could continue for more years, some of Ukraine’s allies now want to seize Russia’s money and give it to Ukraine for reconstruction or ongoing defense needs. But this is not as simple as it may seem. Russia has legal protections like anyone else investing in Western financial markets. Even some Ukraine hawks warn that seizing any investor’s money, however morally justified it may seem, could destroy confidence in the world’s most developed financial market and drive away some important investors. It could even undermine the US dollar’s status as the world’s reserve currency and undermine the considerable privileges that are, because of it, granted to the United States.
This dispute played out at the recent Milken Institute financial conference in Los Angeles, where investment tycoons discussed the pros and cons of seizing Russian assets. Billionaire Ken Griffin, CEO of investment giant Citadel, told a ballroom audience that giving Russian money to Ukraine would be “a really terrifying choice of direction for us to go. When we foreclose on dollar assets, we say to every country: think about how many dollars you want on your balance sheet, because if it crosses America, you can’t use that.”
Better, Griffin says, is for the United States and Europe to provide direct aid to Ukraine for as long as necessary to deplete Russia’s military forces and ensure that Russian President Vladimir Putin does not move deeper into Europe. Griffin praised $61 billion aid package for Ukraine Congress approved in April.
Vladimir Putin walks to take the oath as Russian president during an inauguration ceremony in the St. George Hall of the Grand Kremlin Palace in Moscow, Russia, Tuesday, May 7, 2024. (AP Photo/Alexander Zemlianichenko, Pool) (ASSOCIATED PRESS)
Leave a note for Rick Newman, follow him on Twitteror sign up for your newsletter.
Others think that fears of an exodus of dollars are exaggerated and that the seizure of Russian assets would be an appropriate punishment for Russia’s aggression. “Ken Griffin is completely wrong,” Bill BrowderCEO of Hermitage Capital Management, said during a different panel at the Milken conference. Browder was a prominent investor living in Russia when his lawyer Sergei Magnitsky, was arrested, tortured and murdered in 2009 for reporting on the alleged theft by Russian authorities of $230 million in state funds. Since then, Browder has become a prominent critic of Putin.
The story continues
“I hear this a lot, mostly from hedge fund types on Wall Street,” Browder said, “that if we accept this money, it will ruin the international financial system and no one will trust anyone again. This could be true if the United States did it alone. But we would do this with the Europeans, with the British, with the Canadians, with the Japanese, with the Swiss,” he said.
“There is an argument that this is illegal,” Browder continued. “I would say that invading a neighboring country is illegal and there should be some consequences for that.”
Browder’s appeal drew applause from the audience.
The Ukraine aid bill that Congress passed in April specifically allows US president to seize Russian assets carried out in the United States, which total around US$5 billion of the US$300 billion. But it’s unclear whether that will happen. Biden administration officials have said they would only do so if there was a broad agreement with other leading nations, and so far, there isn’t.
If there is ever a deal on the theft of Russian assets, it will likely start with appropriating the interest that the Russian assets are generating, rather than the assets themselves. European authorities estimate Russian investments maintained in Europe generate around US$3.3 billion in profits per year.
The whole issue may eventually depend on how long the war lasts and how much more help Ukraine needs. It took Congress six months to pass the latest aid package, and although in the end there was strong bipartisan support, staunch opposition from some conservatives nearly sank the bill.
If Joe Biden is reelected in 2024, he will likely continue to pressure Congress for aid to Ukraine indefinitely. This could become easier if Democrats take back the House from Republicans, which analysts consider to be equal probabilities.
If Donald Trump wins the presidency in 2024, there is a good chance that US aid to Ukraine will end. Trump is the Republican Party main anti-Ukraine instigator and his promise to end the war in 24 hours it could only occur by appeasing Putin.
Trump, who has repeatedly praised Putin, may not be interested in seizing Russian assets in the United States. But if Trump turns his back on Ukraine, it may become more urgent to find other sources of support. The longer Ukraine’s allies look at these Russian assets, the more irresistible they may become.
Rick Newman is a senior columnist for Yahoo Finance. Follow him on Twitter at @rickjnewman.
Read the latest financial and business news from Yahoo Finance
The spotlight next week will shift somewhat to the Federal Reserve’s second-quarter earnings season and monetary policy. Market watchers will be treated to results from several major names, including Dow 30 components Goldman Sachs (GS), UnitedHealth (UNH), Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) and American Express (AXP), along with streaming giant Netflix (NFLX).
The Fed will still attract some attention as investors will be eager to hear from a packed lineup of central bank speakers just before the policy meeting lockout period.
In terms of the economic calendar, after fifteen days of labor market and inflation indicators, activity data will gain momentum in the form of the latest retail sales and industrial production reports.
Earnings Highlight: Monday, July 15 – Goldman Sachs (GS) and BlackRock (Black). See the full earnings calendar.
Earnings Highlight: Tuesday, July 16 – UnitedHealth (UNH), Bank of America (BAC), Progressive (PGR), Morgan Stanley (IN), PNC Financial (PNC) and JB Hunt Transport (JBHT). See the full earnings calendar.
Earnings Highlight: Wednesday, July 17 – Johnson & Johnson (JNJ), US Bancorp (USB), Morgan Children (KMI), United Airlines (UAL) and Ally Financial (ALLY). See the full earnings calendar.
Earnings Highlight: Thursday, July 18 – Netflix (NFLX), Abbott Laboratories (ABT), Black stone (BX), Domino’s pizza (ZDP) and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM). See the full earnings calendar.
Earnings Highlight: Friday, July 19 – American Express (AXP), Halliburton (THANKS) and Travelers (VRT (return to recoverable value)) See the full earnings calendar.
IPO Observation: Hospital and healthcare clinic operator Ardent Health Partners (TARDT), insurance service provider Twfg (TWFG) and the biotechnology company Lirum Therapeutics (LRTX) are expected to price their IPOs and begin trading next week. The analyst quiet period ends at Rectitude (RECT) to free up analysts to publish ratings.
Police cars outside the residence of Thomas Matthew Crooks, the suspected shooter at a Trump rally on Saturday, investigate the area in Pennsylvania. Following the incident, one rally attendee was killed, two rally attendees are in critical condition and Donald Trump suffered a non-fatal gunshot wound. The shooter is dead after being shot dead by the United States Secret Service. (Photo by Kyle Mazza/Anadolu via Getty Images)
Investors will initially favor traditional safe-haven assets and may lean toward trades more closely tied to former President Donald Trump’s chances of winning the White House after he survived an assassination attempt, according to market watchers.
“There will undoubtedly be some protectionist or safe-haven flows into Asia early this morning,” said Nick Twidale, chief market analyst at ATFX Global Markets. “I suspect gold could test all-time highs, we’ll see the yen being bought and the dollar, and flows into Treasuries as well.”
Early market commentary suggested Trump’s shooting at a rally in Pennsylvania on Saturday could also prompt traders to increase his likelihood of success in the November election. His support for looser fiscal policy and higher tariffs is generally seen as likely to benefit the dollar and weaken Treasuries.
An indicator of market sentiment heading into the weekend: Bitcoin surged above $60,000, likely reflecting Trump’s pro-crypto stance.
Other assets positively linked to the so-called Trump trade include stocks of energy companies, private prisons, credit card companies and health insurers.
Traders will also be closely watching market measures of expected volatility on Monday, such as those in the tariff-sensitive Chinese yuan and Mexican peso, which have begun to price in the U.S. vote.
Trump said he was shot in the right ear after a shooting at his rally. His campaign said in a statement that he was “fine” after the incident, which prompted him to rush off the stage.
“Currencies will be the first major market on Monday in Asia to react to the weekend’s shots. There’s potential for extra volatility, and getting a clear reading could be especially difficult because liquidity will be hurt by Japan’s national holiday,” said Garfield Reynolds, Asia team leader for Bloomberg Markets Live.
Strategists had already expected a volatile run-up to the election, particularly as Democrats are still agonizing over President Joe Biden’s candidacy after his poor performance in last month’s debate raised questions about his age. Investors were also grappling with the possibility that the election could end in a drawn-out dispute or political violence.
But there is little precedent for events like those in Pennsylvania. When President Ronald Reagan was shot four decades ago, the stock market plunged before closing early. The next day, March 31, 1981, the S&P 500 rose more than 1% and benchmark 10-year Treasury yields fell 9 basis points to 13.13%, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.
Bond investors should pay particular attention as the attack is likely to boost Trump’s election chances and ultimately lead to concerns about the fiscal outlook, according to Marko Papic, chief strategist at California-based BCA Research Inc.
“The bond market must at some point become aware of President Trump’s greater chances of winning the White House than any of his rivals,” Papic wrote. “And I continue to believe that as his chances increase, so too must the likelihood of a bond market revolt.”
Kyle Rodda, senior financial markets analyst at Capital.com, said he was seeing client flows into Bitcoin and gold following the shooting.
“This news marks a turning point in American policy norms,” he said. “For markets, it means safe-haven trades, but more tilted toward non-traditional safe-havens.”
Follow us for stories on Bill Gates, Elon Musk, Mukesh Ambani, Gautam Adani as we bring you everything that’s happening in the business world. Follow the latest gold and silver prices here too. Stay in the know on all things business with us.
Latest news on July 11, 2024: Airtel says its new Xstream Fiber plans bundle over 350 live TV channels (Official Photo) (Reuters) Disclaimer: This is an AI-generated live blog and has not been edited by Hindustan Times staff.
Follow all the updates here:
-
Thu, 11 Jul 2024 08:44 PM
Business News LIVE Updates: Decoding Airtel’s new Xstream Fiber packages, finding value with Live TV and OTT
- Airtel confirms to HT that the live TV proposition is being delivered using its DTH network, while the bundled streaming subscriptions are an extension of its Xstream Play platform.
-
Thu, 11 Jul 2024 03:58 PM
Business News LIVE Updates: TCS Q1 results meet estimates: Net profit up 9%, ₹10 dividend declared
- TCS’s consolidated revenue rose 5.4% to Rs 626.13 billion in the June quarter. Analysts had expected revenue of Rs 622.07 billion, as per LSEG data.
-
Thu, 11 Jul 2024 03:51 PM
Business News LIVE Updates: Indian companies falsified generic Viagra data to get approval, says US FDA: Report
- Synapse Labs Pvt. Ltd may have been used in hundreds of drugs that are still available for sale, the report said.
-
Thu, 11 Jul 2024 03:09 PM
LIVE Business News Updates: Namita Thapar’s emotional post on Emcure IPO listing: ‘Mirza Ghalib sums up my feelings’
- Emcure Pharmaceuticals was listed at ₹1,325.05, up 31.45% on the BSE and NSE on July 10.
-
Thu, 11 Jul 2024 02:39 PM
LIVE business news updates: Amazon could face investigation over treatment of UK food suppliers, watchdog says
- An Amazon spokesperson said the company has made several improvements for food suppliers since last year’s results.
-
Thu, 11 Jul 2024 01:39 PM
LIVE Business News Updates: This Bengaluru company aims to launch a ‘space habitat’ by 2027, in talks with SpaceX
- AkashaLabdhi calls itself a “home among the stars” as it says the company’s area of expertise is signal processing and continuous automation.
-
Thu, 11 Jul 2024 01:10 PM
Business News LIVE Updates: Amazon India employees on working conditions: Made to stand for hours, bathroom breaks not allowed
- A survey conducted by UNI Global Union with the Amazon India Workers Association had 1,838 participants who alleged appalling working conditions at Amazon facilities in India.
-
Thu, 11 Jul 2024 12:44 PM
LIVE Business News Updates: UK overhauls listing rules in bid to attract IPOs to London: What has changed?
- The new rules allow companies to carry out more activities without putting them to a shareholder vote, the UK’s Financial Conduct Authority said.
-
Thu, 11 Jul 2024 12:18 PM
Business News LIVE Updates: Want to send money abroad? Open foreign currency accounts at GIFT City
- Foreign currency accounts will be like a bank account in India, but instead of rupees, you hold foreign currency like US dollars.
-
Thu, 11 Jul 2024 11:30 AM
Business News LIVE Updates: First Abu Dhabi Bank denies interest in acquiring stake in Yes Bank: Report
- The report said the Yes Bank stake sale has attracted interest from Japan, including Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group Inc. and Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group Inc.
-
Thu, 11 Jul 2024 11:04 AM
LIVE Business News Updates: TCS Share Price Surges Ahead of Q1 Results: What Brokers Say About the Stock
- TCS Share Price: The stock opened at ₹3,944.65 against its previous close of ₹3,909.90. It then rose 1.8 percent to ₹3,979.90 level.
-
Thu, 11 Jul 2024 10:22 AM
LIVE Business News Updates: Reliance Jio IPO listing likely in 2025 at $112 billion valuation: Jefferies
- Jio “could list at a valuation of $112 billion” and add “7-15 percent upside” to Reliance Industries’ share price, Jefferies said.
-
Thu, 11 Jul 2024 09:42 AM
LIVE Business News Updates: Yes Bank shares rise after Moody’s revises outlook to ‘positive’ from ‘stable’
- Global rating agency Moody’s has raised its outlook on Yes Bank to positive from “stable” despite expectations of a gradual improvement in its depositor base.
-
Thu, 11 Jul 2024 09:16 AM
Business News LIVE Updates: Sahaj Solar IPO opens today: All you need to know before subscribing to the issue
- Sahaj Solar IPO: The block issue aims to raise ₹52.56 crore through issuance of 2.92 million new shares and will close on July 15.
-
Thu, 11 Jul 2024 08:40 AM
LIVE Business News Updates: Why Analysts Believe India’s Earnings Season May Disappoint Stock Market Investors
- Investors in Indian stocks hoping for a robust earnings season to justify expensive valuations are likely to be disappointed.
-
Thu, 11 Jul 2024 08:35 AM
LIVE Business News Updates: Elon Musk Says Second Neuralink Brain Implant Will ‘Give People Superpowers’ Within a Week
- Elon Musk said Neuralink will make some changes to try to alleviate the problem of its electrode wires retracting from brain tissue.
-
Thu, 11 Jul 2024 07:59 AM
LIVE Business News Updates: Apple warns Indian iPhone users of possible Pegasus-like ‘spyware attack’
- In April this year, the Indian Computer Emergency Response Team (Cert-In) flagged several vulnerabilities in Apple’s operating system for iPhone and iPad.
-
Thu, 11 Jul 2024 07:45 AM
Business News LIVE Updates: US stock markets at record highs led by world’s biggest tech companies
- The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index rose 2.4% to a record high after Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. reported strong quarterly revenue.
{{^userSubscribed}} {{/userSubscribed}} {{^userSubscribed}} {{/userSubscribed}}
{{^userSubscribed}} {{/userSubscribed}} {{^userSubscribed}} {{/userSubscribed}}
{{^userSubscribed}} {{/userSubscribed}} {{^userSubscribed}} {{/userSubscribed}}
{{^userSubscribed}} {{/userSubscribed}} {{^userSubscribed}} {{/userSubscribed}}
{{^userSubscribed}} {{/userSubscribed}} {{^userSubscribed}} {{/userSubscribed}}
{{^userSubscribed}} {{/userSubscribed}} {{^userSubscribed}} {{/userSubscribed}}
News / Business / Latest Business News Live Updates Today, July 11, 2024
Source
News
Jio Financial share price: Should you buy this Reliance group stock on Monday ahead of Q1 FY2024 results?
Q1 2024 Results: Jio Financial Share Price will be in focus on Monday as the Reliance Group company has a fixed board meeting on July 15, 2024 to consider and approve the company’s unaudited standalone and consolidated financial results. Trust Group company informed about the Q1 2024 Results date on Wednesday last week via an exchange filing. According to stock market experts, Jio Financial Services Limited is poised to deliver impressive Q1 results for FY25 on solid operating income. They have forecast a healthy QoQ PAT for the company in Q1 FY25.
Jio Financial Services News
Speaking on the Jio Financial Services Q1 2024 results, Manish Chowdhury, Head of Research, StoxBox, said, “We believe Jio Financial Services is poised to deliver impressive results in Q1FY25 aided by its operating income, which is likely to show robust growth driven by strong investment income, which in turn should lead to healthy PAT growth on a sequential basis. Jio Financial Services continues to make strategic moves such as launching digital products and expanding its ecosystem, with a clear focus on future growth. The company has announced plans to introduce products for lending against stocks and mutual funds, leveraging Jio’s large user base, which could be a significant growth driver in the coming quarters.”
“Furthermore, with the NBFC receiving RBI approval to become a primary investment company, Jio Financial Services is well-positioned to unlock value from its investments. Overall, we expect the company to report robust numbers in the upcoming quarter,” the StoxBox expert added.
Jio Financial Stock Target Price
Speaking about the technical outlook of Jio Financial share price, Ganesh Dongre, Senior Manager, Technical Research at Anand Rathi, said, “Jio Financial Services share price is poised to make a fresh high at the ₹260 apiece level. If the stock breaks above this mark, the Reliance Group stock could make a fresh high by touching the ₹290-₹295 zone. Hence, those with Jio Finance stock in their portfolio are advised to stick to the script by keeping a stop loss at ₹205. If the stock breaks above ₹260 decisively, then one can upgrade the stop loss at ₹240 for the near-term target of ₹295.”
On the advice to new buyers regarding Jio Financial stock, Ganesh Dongre said, “New buyers are advised to wait for the breakout. Once the stock breaks above ₹260, one can buy this Reliance Group stock at the short term target of ₹295, keeping a stop loss of ₹240 apiece.”
Disclaimer: The views and recommendations made above are those of individual analysts or brokerage firms, and not of Mint. Investors are advised to consult with certified experts before making any investment decisions.
3.6 Crore Indians visited in a single day choosing us as India’s undisputed platform for General Election Results. Explore Latest Updates here!
Topics that may interest you
Larry Lepard – The impending bubble burst will be absolutely huge for Bitcoin
“You Only Need 0.02 BTC to Retire Forever – Here’s Why” – Willy Woo
Inside the Banana Zone: The Cryptocurrency Trend Everyone’s Talking About – Raoul Pal
DIGITAL BLOCK! You Live in a Virtual Prison Without Knowing It: The 2025 WARNING by Whitney Webb
“Many Bitcoin Investors Will Be Multimillionaires Before 2030” – Michael Saylor
Switchboard Revolutionizes DeFi with New Oracle Aggregator
Fintech unicorn Zeta launches credit as a UPI-linked service for banks
👀 Lido prepares its response to the recovery boom
Latest Business News Live Updates Today, July 11, 2024
Is Zypto Wallet a Reliable Choice for DeFi Users?
Larry Lepard – The impending bubble burst will be absolutely huge for Bitcoin
“You Only Need 0.02 BTC to Retire Forever – Here’s Why” – Willy Woo
Inside the Banana Zone: The Cryptocurrency Trend Everyone’s Talking About – Raoul Pal
DIGITAL BLOCK! You Live in a Virtual Prison Without Knowing It: The 2025 WARNING by Whitney Webb
“Many Bitcoin Investors Will Be Multimillionaires Before 2030” – Michael Saylor
-
DeFi6 months agoSwitchboard Revolutionizes DeFi with New Oracle Aggregator
-
Fintech9 months agoFintech unicorn Zeta launches credit as a UPI-linked service for banks
-
DeFi8 months ago👀 Lido prepares its response to the recovery boom
-
News6 months agoLatest Business News Live Updates Today, July 11, 2024
-
DeFi6 months agoIs Zypto Wallet a Reliable Choice for DeFi Users?
-
Fintech6 months agoFinTech LIVE New York: Mastercard and the Power of Partnership
-
News8 months agoSalesforce Q1 2025 Earnings Report (CRM)
-
DeFi6 months agoEthena downplays danger of letting traders use USDe to back risky bets – DL News
-
News8 months agoThink Finance Loan Repayment Scam Victims to Get $384 Million
-
ETFs9 months agoGold ETFs see first outing after March 2023 at ₹396 cr on profit booking
-
Videos8 months ago“We will enter the ‘banana zone’ in 2 WEEKS! Cryptocurrency prices will quadruple!” – Raoul Pal
-
Videos9 months agoPREPARE! Millions of People Will Buy Bitcoin When the “ULTIMATE COLLAPSE” Begins in 2024 – Larry Lepard