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Selling fear, greed or both

FinCrypto Staff

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Selling fear, greed or both

I recently received several unsolicited copies of a new book “The Holy Grail of Investing” written by none other than motivational speaker Tony Robbins. Not only was I surprised to receive so many copies of the same book, but I also discovered that Robbins is now in the financial industry.

When I imagine Robbins, I tend to think of crowds the size of sports arenas and “You can do it!” Messages. But after a bit of Googling, I discovered that this is his third book on finance since 2016. It seems like personal improvement and financial planning are starting to overlap in a Venn diagram. But is this a bad thing?

Steve Booren (handout)Steve Booren (handout)

On social media and YouTube, there is no shortage of experts, professional or not, offering financial “advice”. Don’t get me wrong; I believe everyone should have an interest in their money. It is important to understand concepts such as compound interest and the time value of money. I applaud the writers focused on educating readers about these concepts. But my impression is that many of these “gurus” acquire and increase their income not by the education they provide, but by the number of eyes they attract.

For example, consider Robert Kiyosaki, author of the “Rich Dad Poor Dad” personal finance books. You’re likely familiar with these books as they have sold more than 32 million copies since the first book was published in 1997, according to CNBC. What you may not know is that Kiyosaki’s track record is littered with bankruptcies, poor financial advice and expensive seminars.

Today he is on social media, where we can travel through time and follow his predictions. His profile on X (Twitter) shows no shortage of political banalities, bitcoin predictions and the word “CRASH” in capital letters repeated dozens of times. Although he may be an expert at marketing and selling his books, his earnings come when you sign up for one of his many seminars, not when you make sound financial decisions.

Another example is author Harry Dent. A hedge fund manager and publishing company owner (which should already be a huge red flag), Dent wrote a New York Times bestselling book, “The Great Depression Ahead,” in 2009. His follow-up, “The Great Crash Ahead,” in 2011, suggested that the Dow would begin to plummet in 2012, bottoming out sometime between 2019 and 2023.

Instead, the Dow Jones doubled in that period.

This did not stop Dent from publishing many other books about the Last Judgment. From “The Demographic Cliff: How to Survive and Thrive During the Great Deflation of 2014-2019” in 2014 to “The Sale of a Life: How the Great Bubble Burst of 2017 Can Make You Rich” in 2016, you have to admire his ability to be so confidently wrong.

That’s the problem I have with financial writers: their intentions are not to improve your finances, but rather to sell their products. They are encouraged to sell more books, seminars, TV ads, etc., and nothing sells like panic and desperation. Unfortunately, the topic of finance provides fertile ground for this particular brand of snake oil. It’s relevant to almost everyone, it’s constantly changing, and it’s fundamentally important. For these reasons, people tend to pay attention. Additionally, money tends to be deeply emotional. Whether they’re worried about the next crisis (fear), stressed about retirement (despair), or even celebrating a winning stock pick (greed), people are engaged on this topic.

For those who make money from attention, engaged viewers are a goldmine. While some of his advice may be meaningful, the rest is at best bad and at worst downright dangerous. Since their goal is attention, the more outrageous they are, the more attention they get. As such, they take advantage of the emotion. Do any of these approaches sound familiar?

• Take risks, make predictions — the weirder, the better

• Promising to make people rich

• Make accurate predictions — such as the timing of highs and lows — and at the same time offer numbers and goals to attract readers’ attention

• After this fails to materialize, write another book and hope that people forget the previous publication

• Reverse the narrative when necessary (readers have short memories)

• Using buzzwords, scare tactics and a sense of urgency

• No matter what happens, promise profits (in the future) by following your advice

Why do people fall for this nonsense? As with cigarettes, people are addicted to something that only causes harm. But, unlike with cigarettes, these posts and videos do not come with a warning. Have you ever imagined if books were printed with the author’s story on the cover? How would this change our trusted sources?

Negativity attracts people and forces them to remain “connected”, alert to dangers. Pessimism is like a virus. If fear drives consumption, eliminating it is a great way to sell books, newsletters, subscriptions and speaking engagements, and even get airtime on financial news programs. But it entrenches bad investor behavior and is a disservice to readers or investors. It promotes turnover or the activity from which financial companies profit in the form of commissions and transfers.

True financial advice is not fear-based or designed to scare you. Instead, it simplifies the complex. It helps you clarify what you want and offers steps to get there. A quality consultant should illustrate your options and capabilities, not scare you with imminent failures. They should help you navigate uncertainty, walk with courage, and move forward with investing.

Work with people who make you more confident in the future, not less. True financial advice aims to help people make wise choices with their resources.

As financial author Richard Bernstein once said, “The reason ‘guru’ is a popular word is because ‘charlatan’ is very difficult to spell.”

Mute the volume when financial promoters start peddling their gospel, and remember that those who talk the most often have the least to say. Work with a financial advisor who earns when you earn and let them build a plan that works for you.

Steve Booren is the founder of Prosperion Financial Advisors in Greenwood Village. He is the author of “Blind Spots: The Mental Mistakes Investors Make” and “Smart Investing: Your Guide to Growing Retirement Income.” He was named by Forbes as the 2021 Best State Wealth Advisor and the 2021 Barron’s Best Advisor by State. This column is not intended to provide specific investment advice or recommendations.

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Breakfast on Wall Street: The Week Ahead

FinCrypto Staff

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Wall Street Breakfast profile picture

The spotlight next week will shift somewhat to the Federal Reserve’s second-quarter earnings season and monetary policy. Market watchers will be treated to results from several major names, including Dow 30 components Goldman Sachs (GS), UnitedHealth (UNH), Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) and American Express (AXP), along with streaming giant Netflix (NFLX).

The Fed will still attract some attention as investors will be eager to hear from a packed lineup of central bank speakers just before the policy meeting lockout period.

In terms of the economic calendar, after fifteen days of labor market and inflation indicators, activity data will gain momentum in the form of the latest retail sales and industrial production reports.

Earnings Highlight: Monday, July 15 – Goldman Sachs (GS) and BlackRock (Black). See the full earnings calendar.

Earnings Highlight: Tuesday, July 16 – UnitedHealth (UNH), Bank of America (BAC), Progressive (PGR), Morgan Stanley (IN), PNC Financial (PNC) and JB Hunt Transport (JBHT). See the full earnings calendar.

Earnings Highlight: Wednesday, July 17 – Johnson & Johnson (JNJ), US Bancorp (USB), Morgan Children (KMI), United Airlines (UAL) and Ally Financial (ALLY). See the full earnings calendar.

Earnings Highlight: Thursday, July 18 – Netflix (NFLX), Abbott Laboratories (ABT), Black stone (BX), Domino’s pizza (ZDP) and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM). See the full earnings calendar.

Earnings Highlight: Friday, July 19 – American Express (AXP), Halliburton (THANKS) and Travelers (VRT (return to recoverable value)) See the full earnings calendar.

IPO Observation: Hospital and healthcare clinic operator Ardent Health Partners (TARDT), insurance service provider Twfg (TWFG) and the biotechnology company Lirum Therapeutics (LRTX) are expected to price their IPOs and begin trading next week. The analyst quiet period ends at Rectitude (RECT) to free up analysts to publish ratings.

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Trump shooting: Gold could hit record high, dollar and cryptocurrencies set to jump

FinCrypto Staff

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Police cars outside the residence of Thomas Matthew Crooks, the alleged shooter at a Trump rally on Saturday, investigate the area in Pennsylvania. In the aftermath of the incident, one rally attendee was killed, two rally attendees are in critical condition and Donald Trump suffered a non-fatal gunshot wound. The shooter is dead after being killed by the United States Secret Service. (Photo by Kyle Mazza/Anadolu via Getty Images)

Police cars outside the residence of Thomas Matthew Crooks, the suspected shooter at a Trump rally on Saturday, investigate the area in Pennsylvania. Following the incident, one rally attendee was killed, two rally attendees are in critical condition and Donald Trump suffered a non-fatal gunshot wound. The shooter is dead after being shot dead by the United States Secret Service. (Photo by Kyle Mazza/Anadolu via Getty Images)

Investors will initially favor traditional safe-haven assets and may lean toward trades more closely tied to former President Donald Trump’s chances of winning the White House after he survived an assassination attempt, according to market watchers.

“There will undoubtedly be some protectionist or safe-haven flows into Asia early this morning,” said Nick Twidale, chief market analyst at ATFX Global Markets. “I suspect gold could test all-time highs, we’ll see the yen being bought and the dollar, and flows into Treasuries as well.”

Early market commentary suggested Trump’s shooting at a rally in Pennsylvania on Saturday could also prompt traders to increase his likelihood of success in the November election. His support for looser fiscal policy and higher tariffs is generally seen as likely to benefit the dollar and weaken Treasuries.

An indicator of market sentiment heading into the weekend: Bitcoin surged above $60,000, likely reflecting Trump’s pro-crypto stance.

Other assets positively linked to the so-called Trump trade include stocks of energy companies, private prisons, credit card companies and health insurers.

Traders will also be closely watching market measures of expected volatility on Monday, such as those in the tariff-sensitive Chinese yuan and Mexican peso, which have begun to price in the U.S. vote.

Trump said he was shot in the right ear after a shooting at his rally. His campaign said in a statement that he was “fine” after the incident, which prompted him to rush off the stage.

“Currencies will be the first major market on Monday in Asia to react to the weekend’s shots. There’s potential for extra volatility, and getting a clear reading could be especially difficult because liquidity will be hurt by Japan’s national holiday,” said Garfield Reynolds, Asia team leader for Bloomberg Markets Live.

Strategists had already expected a volatile run-up to the election, particularly as Democrats are still agonizing over President Joe Biden’s candidacy after his poor performance in last month’s debate raised questions about his age. Investors were also grappling with the possibility that the election could end in a drawn-out dispute or political violence.

But there is little precedent for events like those in Pennsylvania. When President Ronald Reagan was shot four decades ago, the stock market plunged before closing early. The next day, March 31, 1981, the S&P 500 rose more than 1% and benchmark 10-year Treasury yields fell 9 basis points to 13.13%, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

Bond investors should pay particular attention as the attack is likely to boost Trump’s election chances and ultimately lead to concerns about the fiscal outlook, according to Marko Papic, chief strategist at California-based BCA Research Inc.

“The bond market must at some point become aware of President Trump’s greater chances of winning the White House than any of his rivals,” Papic wrote. “And I continue to believe that as his chances increase, so too must the likelihood of a bond market revolt.”

Kyle Rodda, senior financial markets analyst at Capital.com, said he was seeing client flows into Bitcoin and gold following the shooting.

“This news marks a turning point in American policy norms,” he said. “For markets, it means safe-haven trades, but more tilted toward non-traditional safe-havens.”

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Latest Business News Live Updates Today, July 11, 2024

FinCrypto Staff

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Latest Business News Live Updates Today, July 11, 2024

Follow us for stories on Bill Gates, Elon Musk, Mukesh Ambani, Gautam Adani as we bring you everything that’s happening in the business world. Follow the latest gold and silver prices here too. Stay in the know on all things business with us.

Latest news on July 11, 2024: Airtel says its new Xstream Fiber plans bundle over 350 live TV channels (Official Photo) (Reuters) Disclaimer: This is an AI-generated live blog and has not been edited by Hindustan Times staff.

Follow all the updates here:

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    Business News LIVE Updates: Decoding Airtel’s new Xstream Fiber packages, finding value with Live TV and OTT

    • Airtel confirms to HT that the live TV proposition is being delivered using its DTH network, while the bundled streaming subscriptions are an extension of its Xstream Play platform.

    Read the full story here

  • Thu, 11 Jul 2024 03:58 PM

    Business News LIVE Updates: TCS Q1 results meet estimates: Net profit up 9%, ₹10 dividend declared

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    Business News LIVE Updates: Indian companies falsified generic Viagra data to get approval, says US FDA: Report

    • Synapse Labs Pvt. Ltd may have been used in hundreds of drugs that are still available for sale, the report said.

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    LIVE Business News Updates: Namita Thapar’s emotional post on Emcure IPO listing: ‘Mirza Ghalib sums up my feelings’

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    LIVE business news updates: Amazon could face investigation over treatment of UK food suppliers, watchdog says

    • An Amazon spokesperson said the company has made several improvements for food suppliers since last year’s results.

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    LIVE Business News Updates: This Bengaluru company aims to launch a ‘space habitat’ by 2027, in talks with SpaceX

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    Business News LIVE Updates: Amazon India employees on working conditions: Made to stand for hours, bathroom breaks not allowed

    • A survey conducted by UNI Global Union with the Amazon India Workers Association had 1,838 participants who alleged appalling working conditions at Amazon facilities in India.

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    LIVE Business News Updates: UK overhauls listing rules in bid to attract IPOs to London: What has changed?

    • The new rules allow companies to carry out more activities without putting them to a shareholder vote, the UK’s Financial Conduct Authority said.

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  • Thu, 11 Jul 2024 12:18 PM

    Business News LIVE Updates: Want to send money abroad? Open foreign currency accounts at GIFT City

    • Foreign currency accounts will be like a bank account in India, but instead of rupees, you hold foreign currency like US dollars.

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  • Thu, 11 Jul 2024 11:30 AM

    Business News LIVE Updates: First Abu Dhabi Bank denies interest in acquiring stake in Yes Bank: Report

    • The report said the Yes Bank stake sale has attracted interest from Japan, including Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group Inc. and Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group Inc.

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    LIVE Business News Updates: TCS Share Price Surges Ahead of Q1 Results: What Brokers Say About the Stock

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    LIVE Business News Updates: Reliance Jio IPO listing likely in 2025 at $112 billion valuation: Jefferies

    • Jio “could list at a valuation of $112 billion” and add “7-15 percent upside” to Reliance Industries’ share price, Jefferies said.

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  • Thu, 11 Jul 2024 09:42 AM

    LIVE Business News Updates: Yes Bank shares rise after Moody’s revises outlook to ‘positive’ from ‘stable’

    • Global rating agency Moody’s has raised its outlook on Yes Bank to positive from “stable” despite expectations of a gradual improvement in its depositor base.

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    Business News LIVE Updates: Sahaj Solar IPO opens today: All you need to know before subscribing to the issue

    • Sahaj Solar IPO: The block issue aims to raise ₹52.56 crore through issuance of 2.92 million new shares and will close on July 15.

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    LIVE Business News Updates: Why Analysts Believe India’s Earnings Season May Disappoint Stock Market Investors

    • Investors in Indian stocks hoping for a robust earnings season to justify expensive valuations are likely to be disappointed.

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  • Thu, 11 Jul 2024 08:35 AM

    LIVE Business News Updates: Elon Musk Says Second Neuralink Brain Implant Will ‘Give People Superpowers’ Within a Week

    • Elon Musk said Neuralink will make some changes to try to alleviate the problem of its electrode wires retracting from brain tissue.

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  • Thu, 11 Jul 2024 07:59 AM

    LIVE Business News Updates: Apple warns Indian iPhone users of possible Pegasus-like ‘spyware attack’

    • In April this year, the Indian Computer Emergency Response Team (Cert-In) flagged several vulnerabilities in Apple’s operating system for iPhone and iPad.

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  • Thu, 11 Jul 2024 07:45 AM

    Business News LIVE Updates: US stock markets at record highs led by world’s biggest tech companies

    • The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index rose 2.4% to a record high after Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. reported strong quarterly revenue.

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News / Business / Latest Business News Live Updates Today, July 11, 2024

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Jio Financial share price: Should you buy this Reliance group stock on Monday ahead of Q1 FY2024 results?

FinCrypto Staff

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Jio Financial share price: Should you buy this Reliance group stock on Monday ahead of Q1 FY2024 results?

Q1 2024 Results: Jio Financial Share Price will be in focus on Monday as the Reliance Group company has a fixed board meeting on July 15, 2024 to consider and approve the company’s unaudited standalone and consolidated financial results. Trust Group company informed about the Q1 2024 Results date on Wednesday last week via an exchange filing. According to stock market experts, Jio Financial Services Limited is poised to deliver impressive Q1 results for FY25 on solid operating income. They have forecast a healthy QoQ PAT for the company in Q1 FY25.

Jio Financial Services News

Speaking on the Jio Financial Services Q1 2024 results, Manish Chowdhury, Head of Research, StoxBox, said, “We believe Jio Financial Services is poised to deliver impressive results in Q1FY25 aided by its operating income, which is likely to show robust growth driven by strong investment income, which in turn should lead to healthy PAT growth on a sequential basis. Jio Financial Services continues to make strategic moves such as launching digital products and expanding its ecosystem, with a clear focus on future growth. The company has announced plans to introduce products for lending against stocks and mutual funds, leveraging Jio’s large user base, which could be a significant growth driver in the coming quarters.”

“Furthermore, with the NBFC receiving RBI approval to become a primary investment company, Jio Financial Services is well-positioned to unlock value from its investments. Overall, we expect the company to report robust numbers in the upcoming quarter,” the StoxBox expert added.

Jio Financial Stock Target Price

Speaking about the technical outlook of Jio Financial share price, Ganesh Dongre, Senior Manager, Technical Research at Anand Rathi, said, “Jio Financial Services share price is poised to make a fresh high at the ₹260 apiece level. If the stock breaks above this mark, the Reliance Group stock could make a fresh high by touching the ₹290-₹295 zone. Hence, those with Jio Finance stock in their portfolio are advised to stick to the script by keeping a stop loss at ₹205. If the stock breaks above ₹260 decisively, then one can upgrade the stop loss at ₹240 for the near-term target of ₹295.”

On the advice to new buyers regarding Jio Financial stock, Ganesh Dongre said, “New buyers are advised to wait for the breakout. Once the stock breaks above ₹260, one can buy this Reliance Group stock at the short term target of ₹295, keeping a stop loss of ₹240 apiece.”

Disclaimer: The views and recommendations made above are those of individual analysts or brokerage firms, and not of Mint. Investors are advised to consult with certified experts before making any investment decisions.

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