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Research Analyst at Fineqia Discusses Impact of Spot ETFs on Bitcoin Market Dynamics

FinCrypto Staff

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Research Analyst at Fineqia Discusses Impact of Spot ETFs on Bitcoin Market Dynamics

Crypto.news recently sat down with Matteo Greco of Fineqia International to discuss the current state of the Bitcoin ETF market and what we can expect in the future.

Bitcoin has become one of the best performing assets of the last decade.

It has surpassed its status as a lesser-known peer-to-peer payment system, catalyzing the creation of an entirely new asset class that now boasts a market capitalization exceeding $1 trillion.

With the approval of 11 spot Bitcoin ETFs in January 2024, traditional investors now have an easier way to gain exposure to the flagship cryptocurrency.

These investment vehicles are reshaping the crypto sector, having attracted billions in stock market capital. In addition to legitimizing Bitcoin, these measures have also attracted significant interest of institutional actors.

Another factor that could impact the Bitcoin ETF sector is the potential Ethereum spot ETF approval. Analysts expect these to capture 20% of investment flows currently flowing into spot Bitcoin ETFs, further adding to the intrigue.

With these developments in place, the market remains a dynamic and unpredictable arena. The future of Bitcoin ETFs, while promising, is shaped by a multitude of factors, including regulatory developments and macroeconomic trends.

How could these influence the market dynamics of these investment vehicles? What impact could this have on the price of Bitcoin?

According to Greco, inflows into Bitcoin ETFs are significant but are not the only factor influencing the price of Bitcoin.

Why does the large inflow of capital into Bitcoin ETFs not correspond to an equivalent increase in the market price of Bitcoin?

Several factors can cause prices to rise or fall, including supply and demand, liquidity and leverage. It’s not as simple as a single-factor correlation for price action. However, it is incorrect to say that the inflow of capital did not support positive price developments. When the BTC ETFs were approved on January 10, the price of BTC was around $46,000. Currently, BTC has been hovering between $65,000 and $70,000 for weeks, indicating a 40-50% price increase after approval. At the time of approval, the total market cap of BTC was around $900 billion, and now, with BTC at $67,000, it is around $1.3 trillion. This represents a $400 billion increase in total market capitalization, while BTC ETFs saw a net inflow of around $16 billion. This means that the growth in BTC market cap has been 25 times greater than the amount of net inflows into BTC Spot ETFs. This demonstrates that the impact of the approval and trading of these products has been substantial, going beyond direct flows into these financial products. This has helped support demand for the asset due to positive sentiment and medium-term expectations surrounding Bitcoin and the digital asset space in general.

Could the potential approval of an Ethereum ETF significantly change the investment landscape for Bitcoin ETFs?

Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) are fundamentally different assets with distinct intrinsic characteristics. Bitcoin uses a proof-of-work consensus mechanism, which relies on miners, while Ethereum, like most digital assets, uses proof-of-stake, which does not require computing power to confirm transactions. This mechanism allows ETH and many other digital assets to offer investors staking rewards, similar to dividends in traditional finance. BTC, however, does not have built-in staking rewards and, therefore, has different characteristics and cannot be classified as a security. Given the different characteristics and use cases of these two major digital assets, I do not expect outflows from BTC ETFs to shift to ETH ETFs. Instead, I expect net inflows to ETH ETFs, as they represent a separate asset that new investors, or those already invested in BTC ETFs, may also want to gain exposure to.

⁠What impact could the introduction of an Ethereum ETF have on Bitcoin’s status as the leading cryptocurrency?

BTC was the largest cryptocurrency before the ETFs were approved and will remain so after the BTC and ETH ETFs were approved. If BTC ever loses its dominance, it will take a considerable amount of time for ETH to overtake BTC in terms of market cap. It will be interesting to observe the appetite of traditional finance for ETH as an asset. For comparison, BTC attracted approximately $16 billion in net inflows during the first and second quarters, assuming fairly neutral flows for the remaining three weeks of the second quarter, for simplicity. ETH’s market cap is about a third of that of BTC, so proportionally it would need to attract around $5 billion within six months of launch to match BTC’s level. Higher inflows would indicate greater enthusiasm for ETH, and lower inflows would suggest the opposite. Although it is difficult to make direct comparisons due to divergent market sentiments at the time of launch, this index provides a useful index for medium-term analysis.

Do traditional asset ETFs, such as gold, influence the dynamics of the Bitcoin market?

I would look at it from the opposite perspective. Traditional asset ETFs have been trading for a long time and the introduction of digital asset ETFs to the market represents increased competition. For example, the impact of BTC ETFs has been significantly stronger than the introduction of the first gold ETF in 2004. This indicates that investors have a clear appetite for digital assets, meaning that part of the allocation previously reserved exclusively for traditional financial assets. is now moving towards digital asset ETFs.

Regarding the influence of BTC Spot ETFs on the market, these products undoubtedly strengthen the global recognition of BTC. With some of the largest traditional financial firms issuing and/or holding BTC, this results in increased liquidity, enhanced security, and reduced spreads and commissions for investors and traders.

With the launch of ETFs, has Bitcoin generated enough institutional and retail interest to maintain its proposed role as an inflation hedge?

I would not limit BTC to being classified only as an inflation hedge. Although BTC can serve as a hedge against inflation over long periods of time, it is not a safe hedge in the short term due to its high volatility. BTC has attracted strong institutional and retail interest for a variety of use cases, highlighting its versatility. Being fully decentralized, without a CEO or board of directors, investors can buy and trade BTC based on their preferred use case. Some people buy and hold BTC as a long-term investment or as a hedge against inflation. In countries with hyperinflation, people can use BTC as a hedge against short-term inflation. Others see it as a speculative investment, while others like its decentralized nature and the idea of ​​a currency not issued by central governments. It is incorrect to classify BTC into just one category. Bitcoin is an asset that can be used for a variety of purposes depending on individual circumstances and preferences, and its overall adoption is increasing around the world.

Would you classify Bitcoin as a traditional investment hedge like gold?

At the current stage, I would classify BTC more as an investment, similar to stocks, due to its high volatility rather than as a hedge against inflation like gold or bonds during periods of high interest rates. In my opinion, an inflation hedge should first and foremost provide high stability and serve as an alternative to fiat currency – something stable and liquid that can be easily used to pay for services and quickly converted to cash in the event emergency. BTC falls short in this regard as its value can fluctuate significantly depending on market conditions, meaning that converting BTC to fiat could result in significant losses if done at an unfavorable time.

What does this mean for Bitcoin?

Although BTC can serve as a long-term inflation hedge and a way to increase purchasing power, it cannot be defined as an inflation hedge by default. For example, during the last bear market, BTC saw its biggest declines coinciding with inflation spikes and interest rate hikes. Conversely, BTC started to perform well again when central banks stopped raising interest rates as inflation fell. If BTC was a short-term inflation hedge, it would have behaved in the opposite direction, rising during times of high inflation and macroeconomic uncertainty and slowing down when inflation fell and interest rates fell. stabilized. This trend indicates that BTC is currently traded more as a risk asset, similar to stocks, rather than as a hedge against short-term inflation. As mentioned earlier, the decentralized nature of BTC means that investors can define its function in the market. Currently, the majority of investors perceive BTC as a risky asset and trade it accordingly.

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We are the editorial team of FinCrypto, where seriousness meets clarity in cryptocurrency analysis. With a robust team of finance and blockchain technology experts, we are dedicated to meticulously exploring complex crypto markets with detailed assessments and an unbiased approach. Our mission is to democratize access to knowledge of emerging financial technologies, ensuring they are understandable and accessible to all. In every article on FinCrypto, we strive to provide content that not only educates, but also empowers our readers, facilitating their integration into the financial digital age.

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ETFs

Missed the Bull Market Resumption? 3 ETFs to Help You Build Wealth for Decades

FinCrypto Staff

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Motley Fool

The market’s rebound from the 2022 bear market was not only unexpected. It was also bigger than expected. S&P 500 The stock price is up 60% from the bear market low, despite no clear signs at the time that such a rally was in the works. Chances are you missed at least part of this current rally.

If so, don’t be discouraged: you’re in good company. You’re also far from financially ruined. While you can’t go back and make up for the missed opportunity, for long-term investors, the growth potential is much greater.

If you want to make sure you don’t miss the next big bull run, you might want to tweak your strategy a bit. This time around, you might try buying fewer stocks and focusing more on exchange traded funds (or ETFs), which are often easier to hold when things get tough for the overall market.

With that in mind, here’s a closer look at three very different ETFs to consider buying that could – collectively – complement your portfolio brilliantly.

Let’s start with the basics: dividend growth

Most investors naturally favor growth, choosing growth stocks to achieve that goal. And the strategy usually works. However, most long-term investors may not realize that they can get the same type of net return with boring dividend stocks like the ones held in the portfolio. Vanguard Dividend Appreciation ETF (NYSEMKT: VIG) which reflects the S&P US Dividend Growth Index.

As the name suggests, this Vanguard fund and its underlying index hold stocks that not only pay consistent dividends, but also have a history of consistently increasing dividends. To be included in the S&P US Dividend Growers Index, a company must have increased its dividend every year for at least the past 10 years. In most cases, however, they have been doing so for much longer.

The ETF’s current dividend yield of just under 1.8% isn’t exactly exciting. In fact, it’s so low that investors might wonder how this fund is keeping up with the broader market, let alone growth stocks. What’s being grossly underestimated here is the sheer magnitude of these stocks. dividend growthOver the past 10 years, its dividend per share has nearly doubled, and more than tripled from 15 years ago.

The reason is that solid dividend stocks generally outperform their non-dividend-paying counterparts. Calculations by mutual fund firm Hartford indicate that since 1973, S&P 500 stocks with a long history of dividend growth have averaged a single-digit annual return, compared with a much more modest 4.3% annual gain for non-dividend-paying stocks, and an average annual return of just 7.7% for an equal-weighted version of the S&P 500. The numbers confirm that there’s a lot to be said for reliable, consistent income.

The story continues

Then add capital appreciation through technology

That said, there’s no particular reason why your portfolio can’t also hold something a little more volatile than a dividend-focused holding. If you can stomach the volatility that’s sure to continue, take a stake in the Invesco QQQ Trust (NASDAQ: QQQ).

This Invesco ETF (often called the “cubes” or the triple-Q) is based on the Nasdaq-100 index. Typically, this index consists of 100 of the Nasdaq Composite IndexThe index is one of the largest non-financial indices at any given time. It is updated quarterly, although extreme imbalance situations may result in unplanned rebalancing of the index.

That’s not what makes this fund a must-have for many investors, though. It turns out that most high-growth tech companies choose to list their shares through the Nasdaq Sotck exchange rather than other exchanges like the New York Stock Exchange or the American Stock ExchangeNames like Apple, MicrosoftAnd Nvidia are not only Nasdaq-listed securities. They are also the top holdings of this ETF, with Amazon, Meta-platformsand Google’s parent company AlphabetThese are of course some of the highest-yielding stocks on the market in recent years.

This won’t always be the case. Just as companies like Nvidia and Apple have squeezed other names out of the index to make room for their stocks, these current names could also be replaced by other names (although it will likely be a while before that happens). It’s the proverbial life cycle of the market.

This shift, however, will likely be driven by technology companies that are offering revolutionary products and services. Owning a stake in the Invesco QQQ Trust is a simple, low-cost way to ensure you’re invested in at least most of their stocks at the perfect time.

Don’t forget indexing, but try a different approach

Finally, while Triple-Q and Vanguard Dividend Appreciation funds are smart ways to diversify your portfolio over the long term, the good old indexing strategy still works. In other words, rather than risk underperforming the market by trying to beat it, stick to tracking the long-term performance of a broad stock index.

Most investors will opt for something like the SPDR S&P 500 Exchange Traded Fund (NYSEMKT:SPY), which of course mirrors the large-cap S&P 500 index. And if you already own one, great: stick with it.

If and when you have some spare cash to put to good use, consider starting a mid-cap funds as the iShares Core S&P Mid-Cap ETF (NYSEMKT: IJH) instead. Why? Because you’ll likely get better results with this ETF than you will with large-cap index funds. Over the past 30 years, S&P 400 Mid-Cap Index significantly outperformed the S&P 500.

^MID Chart

^MID Chart

The disparate degree of gains actually makes sense. While no one disputes the solid foundations on which most S&P 500 companies are built, they are in many ways victims of their own size: It’s hard to get bigger when you’re already big. This is in contrast to the mid-cap companies that make up the S&P 400 Mid Cap Index. These organizations have moved past their rocky, shaky early years and are just entering their era of high growth. Not all of them will survive this phase, but companies like Advanced microsystems And Super microcomputer Those that survive end up being incredibly rewarding to their patient shareholders.

Should You Invest $1,000 in iShares Trust – iShares Core S&P Mid-Cap ETF Right Now?

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Consider when Nvidia I made this list on April 15, 2005… if you had $1,000 invested at the time of our recommendation, you would have $791,929!*

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John Mackey, former CEO of Amazon’s Whole Foods Market, is a member of The Motley Fool’s board of directors. Randi Zuckerberg, former director of market development and spokesperson for Facebook and sister of Meta Platforms CEO Mark Zuckerberg, is a member of The Motley Fool’s board of directors. Suzanne Frey, an executive at Alphabet, is a member of The Motley Fool’s board of directors. James Brumley has positions in Alphabet. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Advanced Micro Devices, Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Meta Platforms, Microsoft, Nvidia, and Vanguard Specialized Funds – Vanguard Dividend Appreciation ETF. The Motley Fool recommends Nasdaq and recommends the following options: long January 2026 $395 calls on Microsoft and short January 2026 $405 calls on Microsoft. The Motley Fool has a position in Advanced Micro Devices, Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Meta Platforms, Microsoft, Nvidia, and Vanguard Specialized Funds – Vanguard Dividend Appreciation ETF. The Motley Fool recommends Nasdaq and recommends the following options: long January 2026 $395 calls on Microsoft and short January 2026 $405 calls on Microsoft. disclosure policy.

Missed the Bull Market Resumption? 3 ETFs to Help You Build Wealth for Decades was originally published by The Motley Fool

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This Simple ETF Could Turn $500 a Month Into $1 Million

FinCrypto Staff

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This Simple ETF Could Turn $500 a Month Into $1 Million

This large-cap ETF offers investors the potential for above-market returns while minimizing risk.

It’s always inspiring to hear stories of people who invested in a company and made tons of money as the company grew and became successful. While these stories are a testament to the power of investing, they can also be misleading. That’s not because it doesn’t happen often, but because you don’t have to make a big splash on a single company to make a lot of money in the stock market.

Invest regularly in exchange traded funds (AND F) is a great way to build wealth. ETFs allow you to invest in dozens, hundreds, and sometimes thousands of companies in a single investment. For investors looking for an ETF that can help them become millionaires, look no further than the Vanguard Growth ETFs (VUG 0.61%).

A history of outperforming the market

Since its launch in January 2004, this ETF has outperformed the market (based on S&P 500 Back), with an average total return of around 11.6%. The returns are even more impressive when looking back over the past decade, with the ETF posting an average total return of around 15.7%.

Total VUG Performance Level data by YCharts

The ETF’s past success doesn’t mean it will continue on this path, but for the sake of illustration, let’s take a middle ground and assume it averages about 13% annual returns over the long term. Averaging those returns, monthly investments of $500 could top the $1 million mark in just over 25 years.

Assuming (emphasis on the word “assume”) that the ETF continues to generate an average total return of 15.7% over the past decade, investing $500 a month could get you past $1 million in about 23 years. At an annual return of 11.6%, that would take nearly 28 years.

There is no way to predict the future performance of the ETF, but the most important thing is the power of time and Compound profit. Earning $1 million by saving alone is a difficult and unachievable task for most people. However, it becomes much more achievable if you give yourself time and make regular investments, no matter how small.

So why choose the Vanguard Growth ETF?

This ETF can offer investors the best of both worlds. On the one hand, since it only contains large cap stocksIt offers more stability and less volatility than you typically find with smaller growth stocks. At the other end, the focus on growth means it is built with the goal of outperforming the market.

Investing involves a tradeoff between risk and return, and this ETF falls somewhere in the middle for the most part. That’s not just because it only contains large-cap stocks. It’s also because large-cap stocks are leading the way. Here are the ETF’s top 10 holdings:

  • Microsoft: 12.60%
  • Apple: 11.51%
  • Nvidia: 10.61%
  • Alphabet (both share classes): 7.54%
  • Amazon: 6.72%
  • Meta-platforms: 4.21%
  • Eli Lilly: 2.88%
  • You’re here: 1.98%
  • Visa: 1.72%

The Vanguard Growth ETF is not as diversified as other broad ETFs, with the top 10 holdings making up nearly 60% of the fund and the “The Magnificent Seven” with stocks accounting for about 55%. However, many of these companies (particularly mega-cap technology stocks) have been among the best performers in the stock market over the past decade and still have great growth opportunities ahead of them.

MSFT Total Return Level Chart

MSFT Total Return Level data by YCharts

Big tech stocks are expected to continue to see growth in areas such as cloud computing, artificial intelligenceand cybersecurity; Eli Lilly will benefit from advances in biotechnologyTesla is one of the leaders in electric vehicles, which are still in the early stages of development; and Visa is expected to be one of the forerunners as the world moves toward more digital payments.

ETF concentration adds risk, especially if Microsoft, Apple or Nvidia is experiencing a slowdownBut these companies are well positioned to drive long-term growth despite any short-term setbacks that may arise. Consistent investments over time in the Vanguard Growth ETF should pay off for investors.

Randi Zuckerberg, former head of market development and spokesperson for Facebook and sister of Meta Platforms CEO Mark Zuckerberg, is a member of The Motley Fool’s board of directors. Suzanne Frey, an executive at Alphabet, is a member of The Motley Fool’s board of directors. John Mackey, former CEO of Whole Foods Market, an Amazon subsidiary, is a member of The Motley Fool’s board of directors. Stefon Walters has positions in Apple and Microsoft. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Meta Platforms, Microsoft, Nvidia, Tesla, Vanguard Index Funds-Vanguard Growth ETF, and Visa. The Motley Fool recommends the following options: long January 2026 $395 calls on Microsoft and short January 2026 $405 calls on Microsoft. The Motley Fool has a position in shares of Apple and Microsoft. disclosure policy.

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Ethereum ETFs Could Bring in $1 Billion a Month

FinCrypto Staff

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Kraken Executive: Ethereum ETFs Could Amass $1B Monthly

In a recent interview with Bloomberg, Kraken’s chief strategy officer Thomas Perfumo predicted that Ethereum ETFs could attract between $750 million and $1 billion in monthly investments.

“Market sentiment is being priced in. I think the market has priced in something like $750 million to $1 billion of net inflows into Ethereum ETF products each month,” Perfumo said.

In the interviewPerfumo noted that if inflows exceed expectations, it could provide strong support to the industry and potentially drive Ethereum to new record highs.

This creates positive support for the industry, if we go beyond that, note that Bitcoin was at a rate above $2.5 billion

He said

Moreover, the hype around Ethereum ETFs has already sparked some optimism among investors. After the SEC approved the 19b-4 filing, Ethereum’s price jumped 22%, attracting investment into crypto assets.

This price movement shows how sensitive the market is to regulatory changes and the growth potential once ETFs are approved.

Perfumo also highlighted other factors supporting current market sentiment, including the upcoming US elections and a potential interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve. Recent US CPI data suggests disinflation on a monthly and annual basis, with some traditional firms predicting rate cuts as early as September.

These broader economic factors, combined with developments in the crypto space, are shaping the overall market outlook.

Regarding Kraken’s strategy, Perfumo highlighted the exchange’s goal of driving cryptocurrency adoption through strategic initiatives. When asked about rumors of Kraken going public, he reiterated that the company’s intention is instead to broaden cryptocurrency adoption.

Read also : Invesco, Galaxy Cut Ether ETF Fees to 0.25% in Competitive Market

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Kraken Executive Expects Ethereum ETF Launch to “Lift All Boats”

FinCrypto Staff

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Kraken exec expects Ethereum ETF launch to ‘lift all boats’

Kraken Chief Strategy Officer Thomas Perfumemo said: Ethereum ETFs (ETH) could help the crypto sector while commenting on political developments in the United States.

On July 12, Perfumo told Bloomberg that spot Ethereum ETFs would attract capital flows while drawing attention to crypto, noting:

“It’s a rising tide, which lifts the whole history of the boat.”

Perfumo further explained that the final value of Ethereum “depends on the Ethereum ETF.”

He said the cryptocurrency market is “pricing in” between $750 million and $1 billion in net inflows into Ethereum products on a monthly basis, which would imply that Ethereum could reach all-time highs between $4,000 and $5,000.

Perfumo also compared expectations to Bitcoin’s all-time high in March, which he called a “silent spike” that occurred without any evidence of millions of new investors entering the industry.

Political evolution

Perfumo also commented on political developments. At the beginning of the interview, he said that the results of the US elections “will set the tone for policymaking and the legislative agenda for the next four years.”

He also stressed the importance of legislative action and clarity and noted that recent developments show bipartisan support in Congress.

The House recently voted to pass the Financial Innovation and Technology for the 21st Century Act (FIT21) and attempted to repeal controversial SEC accounting rules with the Senate. However, the president Joe Biden Chosen to veto The resolution.

Perfume said:

“Even if you encounter obstacles at the executive level, [there’s] “There is still good progress to come.”

He added that the Republican Party appears “more pro-crypto.” [and] “more progressive” on the issue, noting Donald Trump plans to attend the Bitcoin Conference in Nashville.

Trump has also made numerous statements in support of pro-crypto policy, including at recent campaign events in Wisconsin And San Francisco.

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