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Inside Citigroup’s Most Mysterious Deal
One of Citigroup’s oldest companies is finally ready for closure.
One of Citigroup’s oldest companies is finally ready for closure.
For decades, Citi Services has moved money around the world for companies and protected the assets of large investors. The division, one of five business lines, represents half of Citi’s total profits and is crucial to Chief Executive Jane Fraser’s turnaround plan.
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For decades, Citi Services has moved money around the world for companies and protected the assets of large investors. The division, one of five business lines, represents half of Citi’s total profits and is crucial to Chief Executive Jane Fraser’s turnaround plan.
Disclosing these deals may seem obvious, but they have long remained in the shadows of virtually everything else in Citi’s vast portfolio, from credit cards to bond trading.
And what they do is not easy to explain. At cocktail parties and investor meetings, executives tended to say “we oversee financial channels,” a slogan Citi is now eager to retire.
“Ah, the eternal question,” said Okan Pekin, head of one of the units, securities services.
For Citi and Fraser, the problem goes beyond just giving their stalwart plumbers their due. Investors never figured out how to value the trades she now put together at Citi Services. The more services are valued, the easier it will be for Fraser to argue that the bank’s shares should be higher.
Citi is trying to fix that this week.
Citi Services will hold its own investor presentation day on Tuesday. The day, conceived by Citi’s director of investor relations, Jenn Landis, will reintroduce to Wall Street a set of functions that most large companies could not do without. The last time Citi held an investor day, in 2022, Services had 20 minutes.
“The Services force has not always received the strength of participation it has long deserved,” said Shahmir Khaliq, director of Citi Services. “We are excited to finally step into the spotlight and pull back the curtain on our business.”
So what exactly are Citi Services units?
Liquidity and payments management: These businesses help companies open bank accounts around the world; pay your employees and suppliers; collect payments from customers; and advise them on where they keep that money.
Trade finance: This arm offers letters of credit that vouch for companies looking to buy or sell across borders; it helps establish supply chains in new markets and lends money to smaller local suppliers so they can fulfill orders from large companies like Apple or Procter & Gamble.
Securities Services: The Beijing group offers investment managers a place to park their assets and track the value of their funds and holdings. The unit also helps companies issue debt and equity securities.
Who do they serve?
Around 5,000 of the world’s largest multinational companies and investment managers. The business focuses on companies with operations spread across the world. It also serves the US government and its embassies.
At the base of most of these activities is a banking network with connections to 190 countries.
What is there to be excited about here?
Services are Citi’s “bright sun,” around which its other businesses orbit, said analyst Mike Mayo. He estimates it’s worth between $90 billion and $120 billion, while all of Citi is only trading at a value of about $114 billion.
The companies have remained relatively unfazed for two decades, even amid the Citi turmoil, and have continued to deepen their ties to the global economy. Citi executives say they still have room to grow and will benefit from the rise of digital payments and companies’ decisions to move their supply chains around the world.
Services have a steady stream of revenue from giant companies. Getting more of these customers to trade with Citi and turn to their bankers for advice is a key element in Fraser’s reform.
Once one of Citi’s biggest critics on Wall Street, Mayo has recently become more bullish on Citi thanks, in part, to Services. A few months ago, he started asking investors what they knew about Citi Services and its results. Not much, it turned out.
Many failed to peg annual revenue growth at 8%, or returns at over 20%, much better than all of Citi. And many didn’t know that Citi Services increased deposits by 20% during the 2008-09 financial crisis, even as Citi nearly went bankrupt.
“Even experienced investors will get these answers wrong,” Mayo said.
Write to Justin Baer at justin.baer@wsj.com
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Breakfast on Wall Street: The Week Ahead
The spotlight next week will shift somewhat to the Federal Reserve’s second-quarter earnings season and monetary policy. Market watchers will be treated to results from several major names, including Dow 30 components Goldman Sachs (GS), UnitedHealth (UNH), Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) and American Express (AXP), along with streaming giant Netflix (NFLX).
The Fed will still attract some attention as investors will be eager to hear from a packed lineup of central bank speakers just before the policy meeting lockout period.
In terms of the economic calendar, after fifteen days of labor market and inflation indicators, activity data will gain momentum in the form of the latest retail sales and industrial production reports.
Earnings Highlight: Monday, July 15 – Goldman Sachs (GS) and BlackRock (Black). See the full earnings calendar.
Earnings Highlight: Tuesday, July 16 – UnitedHealth (UNH), Bank of America (BAC), Progressive (PGR), Morgan Stanley (IN), PNC Financial (PNC) and JB Hunt Transport (JBHT). See the full earnings calendar.
Earnings Highlight: Wednesday, July 17 – Johnson & Johnson (JNJ), US Bancorp (USB), Morgan Children (KMI), United Airlines (UAL) and Ally Financial (ALLY). See the full earnings calendar.
Earnings Highlight: Thursday, July 18 – Netflix (NFLX), Abbott Laboratories (ABT), Black stone (BX), Domino’s pizza (ZDP) and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM). See the full earnings calendar.
Earnings Highlight: Friday, July 19 – American Express (AXP), Halliburton (THANKS) and Travelers (VRT (return to recoverable value)) See the full earnings calendar.
IPO Observation: Hospital and healthcare clinic operator Ardent Health Partners (TARDT), insurance service provider Twfg (TWFG) and the biotechnology company Lirum Therapeutics (LRTX) are expected to price their IPOs and begin trading next week. The analyst quiet period ends at Rectitude (RECT) to free up analysts to publish ratings.
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Trump shooting: Gold could hit record high, dollar and cryptocurrencies set to jump
Police cars outside the residence of Thomas Matthew Crooks, the suspected shooter at a Trump rally on Saturday, investigate the area in Pennsylvania. Following the incident, one rally attendee was killed, two rally attendees are in critical condition and Donald Trump suffered a non-fatal gunshot wound. The shooter is dead after being shot dead by the United States Secret Service. (Photo by Kyle Mazza/Anadolu via Getty Images)
Investors will initially favor traditional safe-haven assets and may lean toward trades more closely tied to former President Donald Trump’s chances of winning the White House after he survived an assassination attempt, according to market watchers.
“There will undoubtedly be some protectionist or safe-haven flows into Asia early this morning,” said Nick Twidale, chief market analyst at ATFX Global Markets. “I suspect gold could test all-time highs, we’ll see the yen being bought and the dollar, and flows into Treasuries as well.”
Early market commentary suggested Trump’s shooting at a rally in Pennsylvania on Saturday could also prompt traders to increase his likelihood of success in the November election. His support for looser fiscal policy and higher tariffs is generally seen as likely to benefit the dollar and weaken Treasuries.
An indicator of market sentiment heading into the weekend: Bitcoin surged above $60,000, likely reflecting Trump’s pro-crypto stance.
Other assets positively linked to the so-called Trump trade include stocks of energy companies, private prisons, credit card companies and health insurers.
Traders will also be closely watching market measures of expected volatility on Monday, such as those in the tariff-sensitive Chinese yuan and Mexican peso, which have begun to price in the U.S. vote.
Trump said he was shot in the right ear after a shooting at his rally. His campaign said in a statement that he was “fine” after the incident, which prompted him to rush off the stage.
“Currencies will be the first major market on Monday in Asia to react to the weekend’s shots. There’s potential for extra volatility, and getting a clear reading could be especially difficult because liquidity will be hurt by Japan’s national holiday,” said Garfield Reynolds, Asia team leader for Bloomberg Markets Live.
Strategists had already expected a volatile run-up to the election, particularly as Democrats are still agonizing over President Joe Biden’s candidacy after his poor performance in last month’s debate raised questions about his age. Investors were also grappling with the possibility that the election could end in a drawn-out dispute or political violence.
But there is little precedent for events like those in Pennsylvania. When President Ronald Reagan was shot four decades ago, the stock market plunged before closing early. The next day, March 31, 1981, the S&P 500 rose more than 1% and benchmark 10-year Treasury yields fell 9 basis points to 13.13%, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.
Bond investors should pay particular attention as the attack is likely to boost Trump’s election chances and ultimately lead to concerns about the fiscal outlook, according to Marko Papic, chief strategist at California-based BCA Research Inc.
“The bond market must at some point become aware of President Trump’s greater chances of winning the White House than any of his rivals,” Papic wrote. “And I continue to believe that as his chances increase, so too must the likelihood of a bond market revolt.”
Kyle Rodda, senior financial markets analyst at Capital.com, said he was seeing client flows into Bitcoin and gold following the shooting.
“This news marks a turning point in American policy norms,” he said. “For markets, it means safe-haven trades, but more tilted toward non-traditional safe-havens.”
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Jio Financial share price: Should you buy this Reliance group stock on Monday ahead of Q1 FY2024 results?
Q1 2024 Results: Jio Financial Share Price will be in focus on Monday as the Reliance Group company has a fixed board meeting on July 15, 2024 to consider and approve the company’s unaudited standalone and consolidated financial results. Trust Group company informed about the Q1 2024 Results date on Wednesday last week via an exchange filing. According to stock market experts, Jio Financial Services Limited is poised to deliver impressive Q1 results for FY25 on solid operating income. They have forecast a healthy QoQ PAT for the company in Q1 FY25.
Jio Financial Services News
Speaking on the Jio Financial Services Q1 2024 results, Manish Chowdhury, Head of Research, StoxBox, said, “We believe Jio Financial Services is poised to deliver impressive results in Q1FY25 aided by its operating income, which is likely to show robust growth driven by strong investment income, which in turn should lead to healthy PAT growth on a sequential basis. Jio Financial Services continues to make strategic moves such as launching digital products and expanding its ecosystem, with a clear focus on future growth. The company has announced plans to introduce products for lending against stocks and mutual funds, leveraging Jio’s large user base, which could be a significant growth driver in the coming quarters.”
“Furthermore, with the NBFC receiving RBI approval to become a primary investment company, Jio Financial Services is well-positioned to unlock value from its investments. Overall, we expect the company to report robust numbers in the upcoming quarter,” the StoxBox expert added.
Jio Financial Stock Target Price
Speaking about the technical outlook of Jio Financial share price, Ganesh Dongre, Senior Manager, Technical Research at Anand Rathi, said, “Jio Financial Services share price is poised to make a fresh high at the ₹260 apiece level. If the stock breaks above this mark, the Reliance Group stock could make a fresh high by touching the ₹290-₹295 zone. Hence, those with Jio Finance stock in their portfolio are advised to stick to the script by keeping a stop loss at ₹205. If the stock breaks above ₹260 decisively, then one can upgrade the stop loss at ₹240 for the near-term target of ₹295.”
On the advice to new buyers regarding Jio Financial stock, Ganesh Dongre said, “New buyers are advised to wait for the breakout. Once the stock breaks above ₹260, one can buy this Reliance Group stock at the short term target of ₹295, keeping a stop loss of ₹240 apiece.”
Disclaimer: The views and recommendations made above are those of individual analysts or brokerage firms, and not of Mint. Investors are advised to consult with certified experts before making any investment decisions.
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