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Indian Opposition Leader Rahul Gandhi Claims ‘Tectonic Shift’ After Modi’s Election U-turn

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Indian Opposition Leader Rahul Gandhi Claims 'Tectonic Shift' After Modi's Election U-turn

The Indian political landscape has undergone a “tectonic shift” following the unexpected results of this month’s elections and Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s government will “struggle” to survive, said Rahul Gandhi, the country’s most prominent opposition politician.

“The space in the Indian political system has been opened up,” Gandhi told the Financial Times in his first interview since the election in which the ruling Bharatiya Janata Party lost majority for the first time since Modi came to power in 2014. “There has been a tectonic shift in Indian politics.”

Modi took office last week, becoming India’s first prime minister since Jawaharlal Nehru to win a third consecutive term. But Indian political analysts have raised questions about the stability of their coalition, which will be the weakest in a decade, forcing the BJP to rely on smaller allied parties to maintain power.

O election The result saw the INDIA opposition alliance, led by Gandhi’s Indian National Congress party, perform much better than anticipated, winning 234 of the 543 seats in India’s lower house, against 293 for the BJP-led National Democratic Alliance. being named leader of the opposition in the new parliament, back at the center of Indian politics.

“The numbers are such that they are very fragile and the slightest disturbance can bring down the government,” Gandhi said. “Basically, an ally has to turn the other way.”

Gandhi he stated that there was “great discontent” within the Modi camp and that there were “people who are in contact with us” within it, but refused to give details.

During the campaign, Modi sought to capitalize on religious tensions, referring to India’s large Muslim minority as “infiltrators” and claiming that a Congress-led government would give up jobs and other “reservations” reserved for lower-caste Hindus.

Gandhi’s bloc, however, won votes among Dalits by playing on fears that the BJP would use a larger majority to change the constitution and deprive them of the benefits of affirmative action.

“The idea that you can spread hate, you can spread anger and you can reap the benefits of that – the Indian people have rejected it in this election,” said Gandhi, whose New Delhi office is decorated with portraits of independence hero Mahatma Gandhi. as well as former prime ministers Nehru, Indira Gandhi and Rajiv Gandhi, his great-grandfather, grandmother and father respectively.

“This is also why the coalition will struggle,” he added, “because what worked for Mr. Narendra Modi in 2014 and 2019 is not working.”

Gandhi also stated that under fairer conditions, the opposition INDIA alliance would have won a majority “without any doubt”. Before the vote, Gandhi and his allies accused Modi’s government of repression, with two state leaders arrested and some Congress bank accounts frozen.

“We fought with our hands tied behind our backs. . . and the Indians, the poor, knew exactly what they had to do,” he said.

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Indian politics has been dominated by the Congress and the Nehru-Gandhi clan for much of its post-independence history. But the party and India’s broader center-left have been widely seen as a declining force in recent years, with some critics saying the family’s dominance in Congress was an obstacle to its progress.

Gandhi stepped down as party president after the BJP’s decisive victory in the 2019 elections, but remained active in its affairs and continues to be its most prominent face.

The Congress was an easy target for the populist BJP due to its dynastic heritage and endemic corruption in its previous governments. Modi attacked Gandhi as a “shehzada” or privileged prince, and Indian media outlets, many of which are owned by Modi supporters or depend on them for publicity, have often portrayed him as an irresponsible and clumsy figure.

However, analysts said the opposition lawmaker took steps to rebuild his political brand with two yatras, or walks, across the country, first from south to north on foot and then from east to west by vehicle.

Images of Gandhi mingling with ordinary Indian citizens contrast with Modi, who cultivated a cult of personality not seen in Indian politics since Gandhi’s grandmother, Indira, and during the campaign claimed to have been sent by God.

“The judicial system, the media, the institutional framework – they have all been closed [for the opposition], and so we decided that we would have to do it literally and physically,” Gandhi said. “Many of the ideas that were successful in this election came from that journey – and they came not from us, but from the people of India.”

Although the BJP lost only about a percentage point of its vote share, Gandhi and his allies won critical seats in the Hindu nationalist party’s northern heartland, including in Uttar Pradesh, India’s most populous state.

These include the Faizabad constituency, where Modi presided in consecration of a Hindu temple in Ayodhya, at the site of a destroyed mosque, to launch his campaign.

Although Modi claimed in his victory speech that India’s 1.4 billion people had “regained their faith” in the BJP and the National Democratic Alliance, Gandhi said the ruling party had been “mortally wounded” by the verdict. of voters.

“Mr Modi’s idea and Mr Modi’s image have been destroyed,” Gandhi said. “The party that spent the last 10 years talking about Ayodhya was annihilated in Ayodhya.

“Essentially, what happened was that the basic architecture of the BJP – the idea of ​​creating religious hatred – collapsed.”

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Breakfast on Wall Street: The Week Ahead

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Wall Street Breakfast profile picture

The spotlight next week will shift somewhat to the Federal Reserve’s second-quarter earnings season and monetary policy. Market watchers will be treated to results from several major names, including Dow 30 components Goldman Sachs (GS), UnitedHealth (UNH), Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) and American Express (AXP), along with streaming giant Netflix (NFLX).

The Fed will still attract some attention as investors will be eager to hear from a packed lineup of central bank speakers just before the policy meeting lockout period.

In terms of the economic calendar, after fifteen days of labor market and inflation indicators, activity data will gain momentum in the form of the latest retail sales and industrial production reports.

Earnings Highlight: Monday, July 15 – Goldman Sachs (GS) and BlackRock (Black). See the full earnings calendar.

Earnings Highlight: Tuesday, July 16 – UnitedHealth (UNH), Bank of America (BAC), Progressive (PGR), Morgan Stanley (IN), PNC Financial (PNC) and JB Hunt Transport (JBHT). See the full earnings calendar.

Earnings Highlight: Wednesday, July 17 – Johnson & Johnson (JNJ), US Bancorp (USB), Morgan Children (KMI), United Airlines (UAL) and Ally Financial (ALLY). See the full earnings calendar.

Earnings Highlight: Thursday, July 18 – Netflix (NFLX), Abbott Laboratories (ABT), Black stone (BX), Domino’s pizza (ZDP) and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM). See the full earnings calendar.

Earnings Highlight: Friday, July 19 – American Express (AXP), Halliburton (THANKS) and Travelers (VRT (return to recoverable value)) See the full earnings calendar.

IPO Observation: Hospital and healthcare clinic operator Ardent Health Partners (TARDT), insurance service provider Twfg (TWFG) and the biotechnology company Lirum Therapeutics (LRTX) are expected to price their IPOs and begin trading next week. The analyst quiet period ends at Rectitude (RECT) to free up analysts to publish ratings.

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Trump shooting: Gold could hit record high, dollar and cryptocurrencies set to jump

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Police cars outside the residence of Thomas Matthew Crooks, the alleged shooter at a Trump rally on Saturday, investigate the area in Pennsylvania. In the aftermath of the incident, one rally attendee was killed, two rally attendees are in critical condition and Donald Trump suffered a non-fatal gunshot wound. The shooter is dead after being killed by the United States Secret Service. (Photo by Kyle Mazza/Anadolu via Getty Images)

Police cars outside the residence of Thomas Matthew Crooks, the suspected shooter at a Trump rally on Saturday, investigate the area in Pennsylvania. Following the incident, one rally attendee was killed, two rally attendees are in critical condition and Donald Trump suffered a non-fatal gunshot wound. The shooter is dead after being shot dead by the United States Secret Service. (Photo by Kyle Mazza/Anadolu via Getty Images)

Investors will initially favor traditional safe-haven assets and may lean toward trades more closely tied to former President Donald Trump’s chances of winning the White House after he survived an assassination attempt, according to market watchers.

“There will undoubtedly be some protectionist or safe-haven flows into Asia early this morning,” said Nick Twidale, chief market analyst at ATFX Global Markets. “I suspect gold could test all-time highs, we’ll see the yen being bought and the dollar, and flows into Treasuries as well.”

Early market commentary suggested Trump’s shooting at a rally in Pennsylvania on Saturday could also prompt traders to increase his likelihood of success in the November election. His support for looser fiscal policy and higher tariffs is generally seen as likely to benefit the dollar and weaken Treasuries.

An indicator of market sentiment heading into the weekend: Bitcoin surged above $60,000, likely reflecting Trump’s pro-crypto stance.

Other assets positively linked to the so-called Trump trade include stocks of energy companies, private prisons, credit card companies and health insurers.

Traders will also be closely watching market measures of expected volatility on Monday, such as those in the tariff-sensitive Chinese yuan and Mexican peso, which have begun to price in the U.S. vote.

Trump said he was shot in the right ear after a shooting at his rally. His campaign said in a statement that he was “fine” after the incident, which prompted him to rush off the stage.

“Currencies will be the first major market on Monday in Asia to react to the weekend’s shots. There’s potential for extra volatility, and getting a clear reading could be especially difficult because liquidity will be hurt by Japan’s national holiday,” said Garfield Reynolds, Asia team leader for Bloomberg Markets Live.

Strategists had already expected a volatile run-up to the election, particularly as Democrats are still agonizing over President Joe Biden’s candidacy after his poor performance in last month’s debate raised questions about his age. Investors were also grappling with the possibility that the election could end in a drawn-out dispute or political violence.

But there is little precedent for events like those in Pennsylvania. When President Ronald Reagan was shot four decades ago, the stock market plunged before closing early. The next day, March 31, 1981, the S&P 500 rose more than 1% and benchmark 10-year Treasury yields fell 9 basis points to 13.13%, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

Bond investors should pay particular attention as the attack is likely to boost Trump’s election chances and ultimately lead to concerns about the fiscal outlook, according to Marko Papic, chief strategist at California-based BCA Research Inc.

“The bond market must at some point become aware of President Trump’s greater chances of winning the White House than any of his rivals,” Papic wrote. “And I continue to believe that as his chances increase, so too must the likelihood of a bond market revolt.”

Kyle Rodda, senior financial markets analyst at Capital.com, said he was seeing client flows into Bitcoin and gold following the shooting.

“This news marks a turning point in American policy norms,” he said. “For markets, it means safe-haven trades, but more tilted toward non-traditional safe-havens.”

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Latest Business News Live Updates Today, July 11, 2024

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Latest Business News Live Updates Today, July 11, 2024

Follow us for stories on Bill Gates, Elon Musk, Mukesh Ambani, Gautam Adani as we bring you everything that’s happening in the business world. Follow the latest gold and silver prices here too. Stay in the know on all things business with us.

Latest news on July 11, 2024: Airtel says its new Xstream Fiber plans bundle over 350 live TV channels (Official Photo) (Reuters) Disclaimer: This is an AI-generated live blog and has not been edited by Hindustan Times staff.

Follow all the updates here:

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News / Business / Latest Business News Live Updates Today, July 11, 2024

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Jio Financial share price: Should you buy this Reliance group stock on Monday ahead of Q1 FY2024 results?

FinCrypto Staff

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Jio Financial share price: Should you buy this Reliance group stock on Monday ahead of Q1 FY2024 results?

Q1 2024 Results: Jio Financial Share Price will be in focus on Monday as the Reliance Group company has a fixed board meeting on July 15, 2024 to consider and approve the company’s unaudited standalone and consolidated financial results. Trust Group company informed about the Q1 2024 Results date on Wednesday last week via an exchange filing. According to stock market experts, Jio Financial Services Limited is poised to deliver impressive Q1 results for FY25 on solid operating income. They have forecast a healthy QoQ PAT for the company in Q1 FY25.

Jio Financial Services News

Speaking on the Jio Financial Services Q1 2024 results, Manish Chowdhury, Head of Research, StoxBox, said, “We believe Jio Financial Services is poised to deliver impressive results in Q1FY25 aided by its operating income, which is likely to show robust growth driven by strong investment income, which in turn should lead to healthy PAT growth on a sequential basis. Jio Financial Services continues to make strategic moves such as launching digital products and expanding its ecosystem, with a clear focus on future growth. The company has announced plans to introduce products for lending against stocks and mutual funds, leveraging Jio’s large user base, which could be a significant growth driver in the coming quarters.”

“Furthermore, with the NBFC receiving RBI approval to become a primary investment company, Jio Financial Services is well-positioned to unlock value from its investments. Overall, we expect the company to report robust numbers in the upcoming quarter,” the StoxBox expert added.

Jio Financial Stock Target Price

Speaking about the technical outlook of Jio Financial share price, Ganesh Dongre, Senior Manager, Technical Research at Anand Rathi, said, “Jio Financial Services share price is poised to make a fresh high at the ₹260 apiece level. If the stock breaks above this mark, the Reliance Group stock could make a fresh high by touching the ₹290-₹295 zone. Hence, those with Jio Finance stock in their portfolio are advised to stick to the script by keeping a stop loss at ₹205. If the stock breaks above ₹260 decisively, then one can upgrade the stop loss at ₹240 for the near-term target of ₹295.”

On the advice to new buyers regarding Jio Financial stock, Ganesh Dongre said, “New buyers are advised to wait for the breakout. Once the stock breaks above ₹260, one can buy this Reliance Group stock at the short term target of ₹295, keeping a stop loss of ₹240 apiece.”

Disclaimer: The views and recommendations made above are those of individual analysts or brokerage firms, and not of Mint. Investors are advised to consult with certified experts before making any investment decisions.

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