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April retail sales, industrial production and investment data

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Pictured here is a BYD factory producing new energy-powered trucks in Huai’an, China, on February 21, 2024.

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Industrial production increased 6.7% in April from a year earlier, exceeding expectations for 5.5% growth. This was also a sharp recovery from March’s 4.5%.

But investment in fixed assets increased by 4.2% in the first four months of the year, lower than the expected increase of 4.6%.

Real estate investment accelerated its pace of decline and fell 9.8% year-on-year in the first four months of 2024.

Investment in infrastructure and manufacturing during this period slowed slightly compared to the level reported in March.

The urban unemployment rate in April was 5%. The agency previously said it would publish the age breakdown in the days following the general release of the data.

Retail sales grew 6.8% year on year during the recent holiday period from April 29 to May 3, according to China’s Ministry of Commerce.

The ministry said retail sales of household appliances increased by 7.9% during this period, while those of automobiles increased by 4.8%, driven by trade incentives across the country.

“The main indicators of industry, exports, employment and prices improved globally, maintaining new driving forces.[ing] rapid growth,” the agency said.

Some consumers who are uncertain about their future income and other aspects will remain cautious about spending, said Bruce Pang of JLL.

But he noted that improving employment data and growth in services consumption indicated that retail sales could improve in the future.

The statistics department said in a statement that April’s figures were affected by the May 1 Labor Day holiday and last year’s high base.

An agency spokeswoman, Liu Aihua, highlighted that last year, the multi-day May 1 Labor Day holiday included two days in April. This year, the holiday only started on May 1st.

She said the real estate industry continues to be in a period of adjustment.

China was also scheduled to begin a six-month program on Friday to issuing bonds lasting decades to finance strategic projects. Oxford Economics expects that most of any economic impact will not be felt until the first half of next year.

Liu noted that issuing ultra-long bonds could also help boost market confidence.

Other data released for April pointed to a mixed growth picture.

Exports grew year on year in Aprilan increase of 1.5% and in line with expectations, while imports grew much more than expected, an increase of 8.4%.

In another indication of stabilization of domestic demand, consumer prices rose last month.

But a measure of factory-level prices continued to decline. New loan data for April dropped to levels not seen in at least two decades, largely due to changes in data measurement, but also reflecting weak demand by businesses and households for loans for the future.

The prolonged recession in the real estate sector has not yet shown signs of a significant recovery, with many pre-sold apartments still under construction. More cities have eased restrictions on home purchases in recent weeks in a bid to boost sales.

Officials from the Ministry of Housing, the central bank and the financial regulator are scheduled on Friday afternoon to hold a press conference on policies supporting the delivery of homes.

Dan Wang, chief economist at Hang Seng Bank (China), said in an interview late last month that he expected China’s property market to stabilize by the end of next year.

“In fact, it seems to me that the policy has succeeded, in a very brutal way, because it is happening too quickly, because it has essentially stopped speculation,” she said.

While the housing crisis has taken a toll on middle-class wealth in particular, it highlighted that the overall economy has held steady.

“Leaving aside the quality of the data, it appears that the economy is capable of offsetting a large loss in the housing market through industrial investment and production,” Wang said. “It has shown some strength in the way the Chinese economy is organized and the way its industrial policy has been conducted.”

Chinese official GDP grew 5.3% in the first quarter year-on-year, better than expectations for a 4.6% increase. The country has set a GDP growth target of around 5% for 2024.

The EU Chamber of Commerce in China told reporters last week that recent economic pressures appear cyclicaland that it is more important for foreign companies to see an increase in domestic demand than in industrial investment.

Retail sales grew 6.8% year on year during the recent holiday period from April 29 to May 3, according to China’s Ministry of Commerce.

The ministry said retail sales of household appliances rose 7.9% during that period, while those of automobiles rose 4.8%, driven by all over the country exchange incentives.

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Breakfast on Wall Street: The Week Ahead

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The spotlight next week will shift somewhat to the Federal Reserve’s second-quarter earnings season and monetary policy. Market watchers will be treated to results from several major names, including Dow 30 components Goldman Sachs (GS), UnitedHealth (UNH), Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) and American Express (AXP), along with streaming giant Netflix (NFLX).

The Fed will still attract some attention as investors will be eager to hear from a packed lineup of central bank speakers just before the policy meeting lockout period.

In terms of the economic calendar, after fifteen days of labor market and inflation indicators, activity data will gain momentum in the form of the latest retail sales and industrial production reports.

Earnings Highlight: Monday, July 15 – Goldman Sachs (GS) and BlackRock (Black). See the full earnings calendar.

Earnings Highlight: Tuesday, July 16 – UnitedHealth (UNH), Bank of America (BAC), Progressive (PGR), Morgan Stanley (IN), PNC Financial (PNC) and JB Hunt Transport (JBHT). See the full earnings calendar.

Earnings Highlight: Wednesday, July 17 – Johnson & Johnson (JNJ), US Bancorp (USB), Morgan Children (KMI), United Airlines (UAL) and Ally Financial (ALLY). See the full earnings calendar.

Earnings Highlight: Thursday, July 18 – Netflix (NFLX), Abbott Laboratories (ABT), Black stone (BX), Domino’s pizza (ZDP) and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM). See the full earnings calendar.

Earnings Highlight: Friday, July 19 – American Express (AXP), Halliburton (THANKS) and Travelers (VRT (return to recoverable value)) See the full earnings calendar.

IPO Observation: Hospital and healthcare clinic operator Ardent Health Partners (TARDT), insurance service provider Twfg (TWFG) and the biotechnology company Lirum Therapeutics (LRTX) are expected to price their IPOs and begin trading next week. The analyst quiet period ends at Rectitude (RECT) to free up analysts to publish ratings.

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Trump shooting: Gold could hit record high, dollar and cryptocurrencies set to jump

FinCrypto Staff

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Police cars outside the residence of Thomas Matthew Crooks, the alleged shooter at a Trump rally on Saturday, investigate the area in Pennsylvania. In the aftermath of the incident, one rally attendee was killed, two rally attendees are in critical condition and Donald Trump suffered a non-fatal gunshot wound. The shooter is dead after being killed by the United States Secret Service. (Photo by Kyle Mazza/Anadolu via Getty Images)

Police cars outside the residence of Thomas Matthew Crooks, the suspected shooter at a Trump rally on Saturday, investigate the area in Pennsylvania. Following the incident, one rally attendee was killed, two rally attendees are in critical condition and Donald Trump suffered a non-fatal gunshot wound. The shooter is dead after being shot dead by the United States Secret Service. (Photo by Kyle Mazza/Anadolu via Getty Images)

Investors will initially favor traditional safe-haven assets and may lean toward trades more closely tied to former President Donald Trump’s chances of winning the White House after he survived an assassination attempt, according to market watchers.

“There will undoubtedly be some protectionist or safe-haven flows into Asia early this morning,” said Nick Twidale, chief market analyst at ATFX Global Markets. “I suspect gold could test all-time highs, we’ll see the yen being bought and the dollar, and flows into Treasuries as well.”

Early market commentary suggested Trump’s shooting at a rally in Pennsylvania on Saturday could also prompt traders to increase his likelihood of success in the November election. His support for looser fiscal policy and higher tariffs is generally seen as likely to benefit the dollar and weaken Treasuries.

An indicator of market sentiment heading into the weekend: Bitcoin surged above $60,000, likely reflecting Trump’s pro-crypto stance.

Other assets positively linked to the so-called Trump trade include stocks of energy companies, private prisons, credit card companies and health insurers.

Traders will also be closely watching market measures of expected volatility on Monday, such as those in the tariff-sensitive Chinese yuan and Mexican peso, which have begun to price in the U.S. vote.

Trump said he was shot in the right ear after a shooting at his rally. His campaign said in a statement that he was “fine” after the incident, which prompted him to rush off the stage.

“Currencies will be the first major market on Monday in Asia to react to the weekend’s shots. There’s potential for extra volatility, and getting a clear reading could be especially difficult because liquidity will be hurt by Japan’s national holiday,” said Garfield Reynolds, Asia team leader for Bloomberg Markets Live.

Strategists had already expected a volatile run-up to the election, particularly as Democrats are still agonizing over President Joe Biden’s candidacy after his poor performance in last month’s debate raised questions about his age. Investors were also grappling with the possibility that the election could end in a drawn-out dispute or political violence.

But there is little precedent for events like those in Pennsylvania. When President Ronald Reagan was shot four decades ago, the stock market plunged before closing early. The next day, March 31, 1981, the S&P 500 rose more than 1% and benchmark 10-year Treasury yields fell 9 basis points to 13.13%, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

Bond investors should pay particular attention as the attack is likely to boost Trump’s election chances and ultimately lead to concerns about the fiscal outlook, according to Marko Papic, chief strategist at California-based BCA Research Inc.

“The bond market must at some point become aware of President Trump’s greater chances of winning the White House than any of his rivals,” Papic wrote. “And I continue to believe that as his chances increase, so too must the likelihood of a bond market revolt.”

Kyle Rodda, senior financial markets analyst at Capital.com, said he was seeing client flows into Bitcoin and gold following the shooting.

“This news marks a turning point in American policy norms,” he said. “For markets, it means safe-haven trades, but more tilted toward non-traditional safe-havens.”

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Latest Business News Live Updates Today, July 11, 2024

FinCrypto Staff

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Latest Business News Live Updates Today, July 11, 2024

Follow us for stories on Bill Gates, Elon Musk, Mukesh Ambani, Gautam Adani as we bring you everything that’s happening in the business world. Follow the latest gold and silver prices here too. Stay in the know on all things business with us.

Latest news on July 11, 2024: Airtel says its new Xstream Fiber plans bundle over 350 live TV channels (Official Photo) (Reuters) Disclaimer: This is an AI-generated live blog and has not been edited by Hindustan Times staff.

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    Business News LIVE Updates: Decoding Airtel’s new Xstream Fiber packages, finding value with Live TV and OTT

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    Business News LIVE Updates: TCS Q1 results meet estimates: Net profit up 9%, ₹10 dividend declared

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    Business News LIVE Updates: Indian companies falsified generic Viagra data to get approval, says US FDA: Report

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    LIVE Business News Updates: Namita Thapar’s emotional post on Emcure IPO listing: ‘Mirza Ghalib sums up my feelings’

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    LIVE business news updates: Amazon could face investigation over treatment of UK food suppliers, watchdog says

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    Business News LIVE Updates: Amazon India employees on working conditions: Made to stand for hours, bathroom breaks not allowed

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    LIVE Business News Updates: UK overhauls listing rules in bid to attract IPOs to London: What has changed?

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    Business News LIVE Updates: Want to send money abroad? Open foreign currency accounts at GIFT City

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    Business News LIVE Updates: First Abu Dhabi Bank denies interest in acquiring stake in Yes Bank: Report

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  • Thu, 11 Jul 2024 09:42 AM

    LIVE Business News Updates: Yes Bank shares rise after Moody’s revises outlook to ‘positive’ from ‘stable’

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News / Business / Latest Business News Live Updates Today, July 11, 2024

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Jio Financial share price: Should you buy this Reliance group stock on Monday ahead of Q1 FY2024 results?

FinCrypto Staff

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Jio Financial share price: Should you buy this Reliance group stock on Monday ahead of Q1 FY2024 results?

Q1 2024 Results: Jio Financial Share Price will be in focus on Monday as the Reliance Group company has a fixed board meeting on July 15, 2024 to consider and approve the company’s unaudited standalone and consolidated financial results. Trust Group company informed about the Q1 2024 Results date on Wednesday last week via an exchange filing. According to stock market experts, Jio Financial Services Limited is poised to deliver impressive Q1 results for FY25 on solid operating income. They have forecast a healthy QoQ PAT for the company in Q1 FY25.

Jio Financial Services News

Speaking on the Jio Financial Services Q1 2024 results, Manish Chowdhury, Head of Research, StoxBox, said, “We believe Jio Financial Services is poised to deliver impressive results in Q1FY25 aided by its operating income, which is likely to show robust growth driven by strong investment income, which in turn should lead to healthy PAT growth on a sequential basis. Jio Financial Services continues to make strategic moves such as launching digital products and expanding its ecosystem, with a clear focus on future growth. The company has announced plans to introduce products for lending against stocks and mutual funds, leveraging Jio’s large user base, which could be a significant growth driver in the coming quarters.”

“Furthermore, with the NBFC receiving RBI approval to become a primary investment company, Jio Financial Services is well-positioned to unlock value from its investments. Overall, we expect the company to report robust numbers in the upcoming quarter,” the StoxBox expert added.

Jio Financial Stock Target Price

Speaking about the technical outlook of Jio Financial share price, Ganesh Dongre, Senior Manager, Technical Research at Anand Rathi, said, “Jio Financial Services share price is poised to make a fresh high at the ₹260 apiece level. If the stock breaks above this mark, the Reliance Group stock could make a fresh high by touching the ₹290-₹295 zone. Hence, those with Jio Finance stock in their portfolio are advised to stick to the script by keeping a stop loss at ₹205. If the stock breaks above ₹260 decisively, then one can upgrade the stop loss at ₹240 for the near-term target of ₹295.”

On the advice to new buyers regarding Jio Financial stock, Ganesh Dongre said, “New buyers are advised to wait for the breakout. Once the stock breaks above ₹260, one can buy this Reliance Group stock at the short term target of ₹295, keeping a stop loss of ₹240 apiece.”

Disclaimer: The views and recommendations made above are those of individual analysts or brokerage firms, and not of Mint. Investors are advised to consult with certified experts before making any investment decisions.

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