Fintech
Should You Consider Shift4 Payments for FinTech Growth?
As interest rates are expected to decline over the course of 2024 and 2025, fintech companies are poised to benefit from the resulting economic growth and increased market liquidity. This environment seems favorable for fintech stocks with innovative solutions and solid business models.
Shift4 Payments, Inc. (FOUR) is a payment processing company that offers end-to-end payment solutions and business analytics tools. Its software is used by large companies such as eBay Inc. (EBAY) and the Marriott hotel chain, and focuses primarily on the hospitality, lodging and sporting events sectors.
In its fiscal first quarter, FOUR generated gross revenue of over $700 million, up 29% year-over-year. While this growth rate is impressive, it fell short of Wall Street’s expectations of $751 million. Additionally, the company has failed to beat consensus revenue estimates in the past three quarters. So, in conclusion, it reported quarterly earnings of $0.54 per share, missing analysts’ estimate of $0.61 per share.
Typically, a stock that fails to meet Wall Street expectations would cause a stock to decline. However, the stock has remained resilient as investors have focused on the company’s steady annual financial guidance. FOUR shares have gained 8.3% over the past month, but are down 2% year-to-date, closing the latest trading session at $73.55.
Here’s what could impact FOUR’s performance in the coming months:
Mixed financial performance
For the first quarter ended March 31, 2024, FOUR’s gross revenue increased 29.3% year-over-year to $707.40 million, while its gross profit increased 27.3% from the prior-year figure to $175.90 million. FOUR’s operating income improved 143.2% from the prior-year quarter to $21.40 million.
However, the company’s overall revenue fell 40.8% year-over-year to $10 million. Additionally, FOUR reported adjusted earnings EBITDA of $121.70 million, down 10.5% from the last quarter. Additionally, net cash flow from operating activities decreased 28.6% year-over-year to $56.70 million. As of March 31, 2024, Shift4’s long-term debt was $1.75 million, with total liabilities of $2.51 billion.
High rating
In terms of non-GAAP forward P/E, FOUR is trading at 20.10x, which is 87.5% higher than the industry average of 10.72x. Similarly, its forward Price/Book multiple of 7.99 compares unfavorably with the industry average of 1.07. Additionally, the stock’s forward EV/EBIT ratio of 21.96x is 101.5% higher than the industry average of 10.90x.
Weak profitability
FOUR’s trailing 12-month gross profit margin of 26.79% is 55.3% lower than the industry average of 59.92%. Likewise, its trailing 12-month EBIT and net income margins of 6.90% and 3.38% are comparable to the industry averages of 23.13% and 23.18%, respectively. Additionally, the stock’s trailing 12-month leveraged FCF margin of 10.74% is 38.6% lower than the industry average of 17.49%.
POWR Ratings Reflect a Weak Outlook
FOUR’s poor prospects are reflected in its POWR Ratings. The stock has an overall rating of D, which equates to Sell in our proprietary rating system. POWR Ratings are calculated by considering 118 distinct factors, with each factor weighted optimally.
Our proprietary rating system also evaluates each stock across eight distinct categories. FOUR has a grade of D for Value and Quality, which is consistent with its extremely high valuation and lower profit margins. Additionally, it has a grade of D for Stability. FOUR’s 24-month beta of 1.70 justifies the Stability grade.
Inside the Technology – Services In the sector, FOUR is ranked 68th out of 79 stocks.
In addition to the above, we also awarded FOUR ratings for Growth, Momentum and Sentiment. Get all FOUR ratings Here.
Bottom line
The fintech industry is extremely competitive, often pushing companies to lower prices to maintain market share and profitability. For Shift4 Payments, this competitive environment could present a challenge, especially in maintaining healthy profit margins.
While the U.S. economy and labor market currently appear to be robust, defying previous expectations, a recession could significantly impact consumer spending in industries where Shift4 has significant operations, such as travel, hospitality, and entertainment.
Given FOUR’s recent below-expected financial results, high valuation, weak profitability and poor growth prospects, it may be wise to avoid investing in this stock.
Actions to Consider Instead of Shift4 Payments, Inc. (FOUR)
Given its uncertain near-term outlook, the odds of FOUR beating expectations in the weeks and months ahead are slim. However, there are plenty of industry peers with much more impressive POWR ratings. So, consider these three A (Strong Buy)-rated stocks from Technology – Services sector instead: Leidos Holdings, Inc. (LDO-S), RADCOM Ltd. (RDCM), and Crexendo, Inc. (CXDO).
To explore more A- and B-rated technology services stocks, Click here.
What to do next?
Discover 10 widely held stocks that our proprietary model shows have massive downside potential. Make sure none of these “death trap“the stocks are hiding in your portfolio:
FOUR stock was trading at $72.85 per share on Wednesday afternoon, down $0.70 (-0.95%). Year-to-date, FOUR is down -2.00%, compared to a 16.76% gain in the benchmark S&P 500 index over the same period.
About the Author: Shweta Kumari
Shweta’s deep interest in financial research and quantitative analysis led her to pursue a career as an investment analyst. She uses her knowledge to help retail investors make informed investment decisions. Moreover…
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Fintech
Lloyds and Nationwide invest in Scottish fintech AI Aveni
Lloyds Banking Group and Nationwide have joined an £11m Series A funding round in Scottish artificial intelligence fintech Aveni.
The investment is led by Puma Private Equity with additional participation from Par Equity.
Aveni creates AI products specifically designed to streamline workflows in the financial services industry by analyzing documents and meetings across a range of operational functions, with a focus on financial advisory services and consumer compliance.
The cash injection will help fund the development of a new product, FinLLM, a large-scale language model created specifically for the financial sector in partnership with Lloyds and Nationwide.
Joseph Twigg, CEO of Aveni, explains: “The financial services industry doesn’t need AI models that can quote Shakespeare, it needs AI models that offer transparency, trust and, most importantly, fairness. The way to achieve this is to develop small, highly tuned language models, trained on financial services data, vetted by financial services experts for specific financial services use cases.
“FinLLM’s goal is to set a new standard for the controlled, responsible and ethical adoption of generative AI, outperforming all other generic models in our selected financial services use cases.”
Robin Scher, head of fintech investment at Lloyds Banking Group, says the development programme offers a “massive opportunity” for the financial services industry by streamlining operations and improving customer experience.
“We look forward to supporting Aveni’s growth as we invest in their vision of developing FinLLM together with partners. Our collaboration aims to establish Aveni as a forerunner in AI adoption in the industry, while maintaining a focus on responsible use and customer centricity,” he said.
Fintech
Fairexpay: Risk consultancy White Matter Advisory acquires 90% stake in fintech Fairexpay
Treasury Risk Consulting Firm White Matter Alert On Monday he announced the acquisition of a 90% stake in the fintech startup Fair payment for an undisclosed amount. The acquisition will help White Matter Advisory expand its portfolio in the area of cross-border remittance and fundraising services, a statement said. White Matter Advisory, which operates under the name SaveDesk (White Matter Advisory India Pvt Ltd), is engaged in the treasury risk advisory business. It oversees funds under management (FUM) totaling $8 billion, offering advisory services to a wide range of clients.
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White Matter Advisory, based in Bangalore, helps companies navigate the complexities of treasury and risk management.
Fairexpay, authorised by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) under Cohort 2 of the Liberalised Remittance Scheme (LRS) Regulatory Sandbox, boasts features such as best-in-class exchange rates, 24-hour processing times and full security compliance.
“With this acquisition, White Matter Advisory will leverage Fairexpay’s advanced technology platform and regulatory approvals to enhance its services to its clients,” the release reads.
The integration of Fairexpay’s capabilities should provide White Matter Advisory with a competitive advantage in the cross-border remittance and fundraising market, he added.
The release also states that by integrating Fairexpay’s advanced technology, White Matter Advisory aims to offer seamless and convenient cross-border payment solutions, providing customers with secure options for international money transfers.
Fintech
Rakuten Delays FinTech Business Reorganization to 2025
Rakuten (Japan:4755) has released an update.
Rakuten Group, Inc. and Rakuten Bank, Ltd. announced a delay in the reorganization of Rakuten’s FinTech Business, moving the target date from October 2024 to January 2025. The delay is to allow for a more comprehensive review, taking into account regulatory, shareholder interests and the group’s optimal structure for growth. There are no anticipated changes to Rakuten Bank’s reorganization objectives, structure or listing status outside of the revised timeline.
For more insights on JP:4755 stock, check out TipRanks Stock Analysis Page.
Fintech
White Matter Advisory Acquires 90% Stake in Fintech Startup Fairexpay
You are reading Entrepreneur India, an international franchise of Entrepreneur Media.
White Matter Advisory, which operates under the name SaveDesk in India, has announced that it is acquiring a 90% stake in fintech startup Fairexpay for an undisclosed amount.
This strategic move aims to strengthen White Matter Advisory’s portfolio in cross-border remittance and fundraising services.
By integrating Fairexpay’s advanced technology, White Matter Advisory aims to offer seamless and convenient cross-border payment solutions, providing customers with secure options for international money transfers.
White Matter Advisory, known for its treasury risk advisory services, manages funds under management (FUM) totaling USD 8 billion.
Founded by Bhaskar Saravana, Saurabh Jain, Kranthi Reddy and Piuesh Daga, White Matter Advisory helps companies effectively manage the complexities of treasury and risk management.
The SaveDesk platform offering includes a SaaS-based FX market data platform with real-time feeds for over 100 currencies, bank cost optimization services, customized treasury risk management solutions, and compliance guidance for the Foreign Exchange Management Act (FEMA) and other trade regulations.
Fairexpay is a global aggregation platform offering competitive currency exchange rates from numerous exchange partners worldwide. Catering to both private and corporate customers, Fairexpay provides seamless money transfer solutions for education, travel and immigration, as well as simplifying cross-border payments via API and white-label solutions for businesses. Key features include competitive currency exchange rates, 24-hour processing times, extensive currency coverage of over 30 currencies in more than 200 countries, and secure, RBI-compliant transactions.
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