Fintech
PayPal shares could take more hits from Apple’s moves
Given PayPal (NASDAQ:PYPL) continued, strong growth and its large user base, coupled with PayPal stock’s low valuation, I continue to believe the stock will deliver strong long-term returns. Furthermore, the macroeconomic picture, while far from perfect for the company, should allow it to continue to post fairly solid financial results well into the future.
But PayPal will face stiffer competition Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) Going forward. While I don’t expect these developments to significantly impact its performance, the company’s growth may slow slightly in the wake of these changes. More importantly, Wall Street appears to have lost confidence in PayPal following Apple’s moves, so PayPal shares are likely to fall further in the short to medium term. All in all, I currently view PayPal’s actions as a hold.
Strong and continuous metrics
In the first quarter, PayPal the top line rose 9.4% compared to the same period last year at $7.7 billion, while total payment volume increased 14% year-on-year to $404 billion. Even more impressive is the fact that its payment transactions per active account increased 13% year-on-year (YOY) to reach 60, demonstrating that user usage of the company’s services is increasing significantly . Finally, its earnings per share, excluding certain items, rose 27% year over year to $1.08, while the active stock monthly user base of just its Venmo service in the United States reached an impressive 60 million.
Also encouraging is that the number of first-time users of its debit cards increased 38% year over year last quarter, says CEO Alex Chriss reported in its first quarter earnings call. Debit card users, on average, produce nearly 20% more revenue for the company than accounts that don’t use debit cards, Chriss noted.
In a note to investors dated May 31, research firm New Street Research coverage began of PayPal shares with a “buy” rating. New Street expects the company’s new guest payment system, Fastlane, to increase payment volume and expects the company to increase prices on Fastlane in the future. Additionally, the company expects PayPal to improve Venmo monetization and increase debit card adoption rates in the medium term. And New Street expects the company’s profit margins to beat analysts’ average estimates in 2025.
A decent macro setup and a low rating
US retail sales up just 0.1% May compared to April. But Marketwatch declared, “Sales continue to increase at a pace consistent with stable growth.” Furthermore, according to a survey conducted according to the respected consultancy McKinsey, a considerable number of consumers expect to “go crazy” in many categories in the future. For example, 39% of respondents plan to spend a lot at restaurants, while a third plan to spend a lot on clothing. Another third say they will spend a lot on travel. Equally important, inflation did not rise to all last month. If this trend continues, investors may feel freer to spend more on discretionary items in the future.
On the valuation front, PayPal has a forward P/E ratio 14 times ratio. Given its strong growth, this is a very low P/E ratio.
Apple’s moves worry the streets
Earlier this month Apple introduced Tap to Cash which allows the iPhone users to transfer funds by placing their devices on other iPhones. The technology giant also disclosed which would allow iPhone owners to “access installment loans offered through credit and debit cards, as well as lenders, when paying with Apple Pay.” And finally, the company will allow consumers to use Apple Pay on desktop browsers other than just Safari.
Wall Street appears to be significantly less optimistic about PayPal stock in the wake of Apple’s announcement, as the stock is down about 10%. the week following the news from the software giant.
Not a game changer
I don’t expect Apple’s initiatives to be a game changer for PayPal. First of all, according to one estimate, that of PayPal the market share of online payments was 56% last year while Apple’s was only 12.6%. So even if the changes increased Apple’s market share by 20 percentage points, all at PayPal’s expense, the latter company would lose less than five percentage points of its share.
But I don’t expect this scenario to materialize. Most consumers don’t exchange money with their peers in person, so the Tap to Cash feature probably won’t be very popular. And PayPal has a big advantage over Apple when it comes to exchanging money on desktops. Finally, Apple has partnered with credit card issuers in the past, and PayPal already faces numerous competitors offering online loans, including SoFi (NASDAQ:SOFI) and Zelle. As a result, I don’t expect Apple’s new partnerships with card issuers and lenders to be a negative factor for PayPal.
The bottom line
While I don’t expect PayPal to take a big hit from Apple’s moves, the fintech company could suffer market share losses of a few percentage points, further scaring the street in the process.
Furthermore, due to the negative momentum in PayPal stock, the stock is likely to continue falling for a while longer. As a result, I believe investors will have the opportunity to purchase the stock at significantly less than the current price relatively quickly. That’s why I view the stock as a hold rather than a buy.
As of the date of publication, Larry Ramer did not hold (either directly or indirectly) any positions in the securities mentioned in this article. The opinions expressed in this article are those of the writer, subject to InvestorPlace.com Guidelines for publication.
Larry Ramer has been researching and writing about US stocks for 15 years. He was employed by The Fly and Israel’s largest business newspaper, Globes. Larry began writing articles for InvestorPlace in 2015. His highly successful contrarian picks include SMCI, INTC, and MGM. You can reach him on Stocktwits at @larryramer.
Fintech
Lloyds and Nationwide invest in Scottish fintech AI Aveni
Lloyds Banking Group and Nationwide have joined an £11m Series A funding round in Scottish artificial intelligence fintech Aveni.
The investment is led by Puma Private Equity with additional participation from Par Equity.
Aveni creates AI products specifically designed to streamline workflows in the financial services industry by analyzing documents and meetings across a range of operational functions, with a focus on financial advisory services and consumer compliance.
The cash injection will help fund the development of a new product, FinLLM, a large-scale language model created specifically for the financial sector in partnership with Lloyds and Nationwide.
Joseph Twigg, CEO of Aveni, explains: “The financial services industry doesn’t need AI models that can quote Shakespeare, it needs AI models that offer transparency, trust and, most importantly, fairness. The way to achieve this is to develop small, highly tuned language models, trained on financial services data, vetted by financial services experts for specific financial services use cases.
“FinLLM’s goal is to set a new standard for the controlled, responsible and ethical adoption of generative AI, outperforming all other generic models in our selected financial services use cases.”
Robin Scher, head of fintech investment at Lloyds Banking Group, says the development programme offers a “massive opportunity” for the financial services industry by streamlining operations and improving customer experience.
“We look forward to supporting Aveni’s growth as we invest in their vision of developing FinLLM together with partners. Our collaboration aims to establish Aveni as a forerunner in AI adoption in the industry, while maintaining a focus on responsible use and customer centricity,” he said.
Fintech
Fairexpay: Risk consultancy White Matter Advisory acquires 90% stake in fintech Fairexpay
Treasury Risk Consulting Firm White Matter Alert On Monday he announced the acquisition of a 90% stake in the fintech startup Fair payment for an undisclosed amount. The acquisition will help White Matter Advisory expand its portfolio in the area of cross-border remittance and fundraising services, a statement said. White Matter Advisory, which operates under the name SaveDesk (White Matter Advisory India Pvt Ltd), is engaged in the treasury risk advisory business. It oversees funds under management (FUM) totaling $8 billion, offering advisory services to a wide range of clients.
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White Matter Advisory, based in Bangalore, helps companies navigate the complexities of treasury and risk management.
Fairexpay, authorised by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) under Cohort 2 of the Liberalised Remittance Scheme (LRS) Regulatory Sandbox, boasts features such as best-in-class exchange rates, 24-hour processing times and full security compliance.
“With this acquisition, White Matter Advisory will leverage Fairexpay’s advanced technology platform and regulatory approvals to enhance its services to its clients,” the release reads.
The integration of Fairexpay’s capabilities should provide White Matter Advisory with a competitive advantage in the cross-border remittance and fundraising market, he added.
The release also states that by integrating Fairexpay’s advanced technology, White Matter Advisory aims to offer seamless and convenient cross-border payment solutions, providing customers with secure options for international money transfers.
Fintech
Rakuten Delays FinTech Business Reorganization to 2025
Rakuten (Japan:4755) has released an update.
Rakuten Group, Inc. and Rakuten Bank, Ltd. announced a delay in the reorganization of Rakuten’s FinTech Business, moving the target date from October 2024 to January 2025. The delay is to allow for a more comprehensive review, taking into account regulatory, shareholder interests and the group’s optimal structure for growth. There are no anticipated changes to Rakuten Bank’s reorganization objectives, structure or listing status outside of the revised timeline.
For more insights on JP:4755 stock, check out TipRanks Stock Analysis Page.
Fintech
White Matter Advisory Acquires 90% Stake in Fintech Startup Fairexpay
You are reading Entrepreneur India, an international franchise of Entrepreneur Media.
White Matter Advisory, which operates under the name SaveDesk in India, has announced that it is acquiring a 90% stake in fintech startup Fairexpay for an undisclosed amount.
This strategic move aims to strengthen White Matter Advisory’s portfolio in cross-border remittance and fundraising services.
By integrating Fairexpay’s advanced technology, White Matter Advisory aims to offer seamless and convenient cross-border payment solutions, providing customers with secure options for international money transfers.
White Matter Advisory, known for its treasury risk advisory services, manages funds under management (FUM) totaling USD 8 billion.
Founded by Bhaskar Saravana, Saurabh Jain, Kranthi Reddy and Piuesh Daga, White Matter Advisory helps companies effectively manage the complexities of treasury and risk management.
The SaveDesk platform offering includes a SaaS-based FX market data platform with real-time feeds for over 100 currencies, bank cost optimization services, customized treasury risk management solutions, and compliance guidance for the Foreign Exchange Management Act (FEMA) and other trade regulations.
Fairexpay is a global aggregation platform offering competitive currency exchange rates from numerous exchange partners worldwide. Catering to both private and corporate customers, Fairexpay provides seamless money transfer solutions for education, travel and immigration, as well as simplifying cross-border payments via API and white-label solutions for businesses. Key features include competitive currency exchange rates, 24-hour processing times, extensive currency coverage of over 30 currencies in more than 200 countries, and secure, RBI-compliant transactions.
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