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Pagaya Technologies (PGY): A Fintech Stock Not for the Faint-Hearted Investor

FinCrypto Staff

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Technology stocks continue to dominate returns despite recent volatility, with the NASDAQ index up more than 18.5% year-to-date. Under that umbrella are fintech companies focused on financial services innovations as a technological bridge to the future of banking and finance. Companies like Pagaya Technologies (PGY) are at the forefront of this new wave, which is trying to revolutionize the lending industry by enabling real-time data-driven credit ratings. However, the stock is highly volatile and not for the faint-hearted investor.

The company has had an impressive performance in Q1’24 and strong revenue growth over the past three years. However, it is still considered a high-risk, high-reward stock.

Pagaya Takes Steps to Increase Profitability

Pagaya is among a new generation of fintech companies using artificial intelligence, machine learning techniques, and big data analytics to provide institutional lenders with a more accurate way to review credit applications. The company works with various financial institutions, such as banks, pension funds, and insurance companies, to apply data-driven decision-making to improve people’s access to credit.

Pagaya manages billions of dollars in loans across a variety of sectors, including personal loans, auto loans, credit cards, and real estate. Its AI-powered technology analyzes consumer data to estimate risk and reward. With its two-sided network, Pagaya facilitates a seamless flow of consumer credit and real estate assets to investors. The company has demonstrated commitment to its expansion strategy by introducing a POS business in partnership with US Bank. It is expected to launch on their network in the second half of 2024.

In addition to executing strategies to increase profitability and achieve positive net cash flow, the company is streamlining its operations and accelerating key growth areas. As part of these initiatives, Pagaya expects annualized gross cost savings of approximately $25 million. As a result, the company has revised its 2024 guidance for adjusted EBITDA upward by $10 million to $160-$200 million.

Pagaya’s recent financial results and outlook

Pagaya Technologies beat analysts’ estimates for its first-quarter 2024 earnings report. Total Revenue of $245.28 million beat estimates of $225.96 million, driven by a significant 31% year-over-year growth in network volume, beating its forecast to reach $2.42 billion. Another record was set in revenue from commissions less production costs (FRLPC), which reached $92 million, an increase of 84% year-over-year.

This increased the Fee Revenue Less Production Costs (FRLPC) margin to 3.8%, an improvement of 109 basis points from the prior year. Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter exceeded the $32 million forecast at $38 million, reaching $40 million. Although a net loss of $21 million was reported, this was an improvement from the prior year period with a $40 million decrease in losses. Earnings per share of $0.20 surpassed consensus expectations of -$0.04.

In an effort to strengthen its capital position, Pagaya recently raised $330 million through corporate loans and equity raisings.

For the second quarter of 2024, management expects network volume to fall between $2.2 billion and $2.4 billion. Total revenue and other income is expected to be between $235 million and $245 million. Adjusted EBITDA is expected to be between $40 million and $45 million. For the full year 2024, network volume is expected to fall between $9.0 billion and $10.5 billion. Total revenue and other income is expected to be between $925 million and $1,050 million. Adjusted EBITDA is expected to be between $160 million and $200 million.

What is the price target for PGY stock?

The stock has been exceptionally volatile, with a beta of 5.9. It fell 30% immediately after the company surprised markets with a $330 million capital raise in March. However, it has recovered much of the lost ground, rising 48% since then. The shares are trading at the lower end of the 52-week price range of $8.56 – $33.96 and are showing continued positive price momentum, trading above 20-day (13.45) and 50-day (12.72) moving averages.

Analysts who follow the company have taken a cautiously optimistic view of the stock. For example, analyst Keefe Bruyette Sanjay SakhraniA five-star analyst according to Tipranks, recently began tracking Pagaya with an Outperform rating and a $23 price target on the stock, emphasizing the company’s solid growth potential.

Overall, Pagaya Technologies is rated a Moderate Buy based on seven analysts’ recommendations and recently assigned target prices. The average target price for PGY stock is $23.17which represents a potential upside of 53.04% from current levels.

Conclusion on Pagaya

Pagaya has shown encouraging financial results and an optimistic outlook for further upside. Investors interested in this compelling, high-risk, high-reward investment opportunity may want to capitalize on the recent strong growth trajectory and ride the momentum train before the stock price rebounds to higher levels.

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We are the editorial team of FinCrypto, where seriousness meets clarity in cryptocurrency analysis. With a robust team of finance and blockchain technology experts, we are dedicated to meticulously exploring complex crypto markets with detailed assessments and an unbiased approach. Our mission is to democratize access to knowledge of emerging financial technologies, ensuring they are understandable and accessible to all. In every article on FinCrypto, we strive to provide content that not only educates, but also empowers our readers, facilitating their integration into the financial digital age.

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Lloyds and Nationwide invest in Scottish fintech AI Aveni

FinCrypto Staff

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Lloyds and Nationwide invest in Scottish AI fintech Aveni

Lloyds Banking Group and Nationwide have joined an £11m Series A funding round in Scottish artificial intelligence fintech Aveni.

The investment is led by Puma Private Equity with additional participation from Par Equity.

Aveni creates AI products specifically designed to streamline workflows in the financial services industry by analyzing documents and meetings across a range of operational functions, with a focus on financial advisory services and consumer compliance.

The cash injection will help fund the development of a new product, FinLLM, a large-scale language model created specifically for the financial sector in partnership with Lloyds and Nationwide.

Joseph Twigg, CEO of Aveni, explains: “The financial services industry doesn’t need AI models that can quote Shakespeare, it needs AI models that offer transparency, trust and, most importantly, fairness. The way to achieve this is to develop small, highly tuned language models, trained on financial services data, vetted by financial services experts for specific financial services use cases.

“FinLLM’s goal is to set a new standard for the controlled, responsible and ethical adoption of generative AI, outperforming all other generic models in our selected financial services use cases.”

Robin Scher, head of fintech investment at Lloyds Banking Group, says the development programme offers a “massive opportunity” for the financial services industry by streamlining operations and improving customer experience.

“We look forward to supporting Aveni’s growth as we invest in their vision of developing FinLLM together with partners. Our collaboration aims to establish Aveni as a forerunner in AI adoption in the industry, while maintaining a focus on responsible use and customer centricity,” he said.

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Fairexpay: Risk consultancy White Matter Advisory acquires 90% stake in fintech Fairexpay

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Treasury Risk Consulting Firm White Matter Alert On Monday he announced the acquisition of a 90% stake in the fintech startup Fair payment for an undisclosed amount. The acquisition will help White Matter Advisory expand its portfolio in the area of cross-border remittance and fundraising services, a statement said. White Matter Advisory, which operates under the name SaveDesk (White Matter Advisory India Pvt Ltd), is engaged in the treasury risk advisory business. It oversees funds under management (FUM) totaling $8 billion, offering advisory services to a wide range of clients.

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White Matter Advisory, based in Bangalore, helps companies navigate the complexities of treasury and risk management.

Fairexpay, authorised by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) under Cohort 2 of the Liberalised Remittance Scheme (LRS) Regulatory Sandbox, boasts features such as best-in-class exchange rates, 24-hour processing times and full security compliance.

“With this acquisition, White Matter Advisory will leverage Fairexpay’s advanced technology platform and regulatory approvals to enhance its services to its clients,” the release reads.

The integration of Fairexpay’s capabilities should provide White Matter Advisory with a competitive advantage in the cross-border remittance and fundraising market, he added.

The release also states that by integrating Fairexpay’s advanced technology, White Matter Advisory aims to offer seamless and convenient cross-border payment solutions, providing customers with secure options for international money transfers.

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Fintech

Rakuten Delays FinTech Business Reorganization to 2025

FinCrypto Staff

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Rakuten (Japan:4755) has released an update.

Rakuten Group, Inc. and Rakuten Bank, Ltd. announced a delay in the reorganization of Rakuten’s FinTech Business, moving the target date from October 2024 to January 2025. The delay is to allow for a more comprehensive review, taking into account regulatory, shareholder interests and the group’s optimal structure for growth. There are no anticipated changes to Rakuten Bank’s reorganization objectives, structure or listing status outside of the revised timeline.

For more insights on JP:4755 stock, check out TipRanks Stock Analysis Page.

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White Matter Advisory Acquires 90% Stake in Fintech Startup Fairexpay

FinCrypto Staff

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White Matter Advisory Acquires 90% Stake in Fintech Startup Fairexpay

You are reading Entrepreneur India, an international franchise of Entrepreneur Media.

White Matter Advisory, which operates under the name SaveDesk in India, has announced that it is acquiring a 90% stake in fintech startup Fairexpay for an undisclosed amount.

This strategic move aims to strengthen White Matter Advisory’s portfolio in cross-border remittance and fundraising services.

By integrating Fairexpay’s advanced technology, White Matter Advisory aims to offer seamless and convenient cross-border payment solutions, providing customers with secure options for international money transfers.

White Matter Advisory, known for its treasury risk advisory services, manages funds under management (FUM) totaling USD 8 billion.

Founded by Bhaskar Saravana, Saurabh Jain, Kranthi Reddy and Piuesh Daga, White Matter Advisory helps companies effectively manage the complexities of treasury and risk management.

The SaveDesk platform offering includes a SaaS-based FX market data platform with real-time feeds for over 100 currencies, bank cost optimization services, customized treasury risk management solutions, and compliance guidance for the Foreign Exchange Management Act (FEMA) and other trade regulations.

Fairexpay is a global aggregation platform offering competitive currency exchange rates from numerous exchange partners worldwide. Catering to both private and corporate customers, Fairexpay provides seamless money transfer solutions for education, travel and immigration, as well as simplifying cross-border payments via API and white-label solutions for businesses. Key features include competitive currency exchange rates, 24-hour processing times, extensive currency coverage of over 30 currencies in more than 200 countries, and secure, RBI-compliant transactions.

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