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American Airlines Stock Tanks After ‘Surprising’ Guidance Cut

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American Airlines Stock Tanks After 'Surprising' Guidance Cut

American Airlines (AAL) shares are taking a hit in mid-day trading after the company announced the departure of Vasu Raja, its chief commercial officer, and issued revised guidance that came as a big disappointment to investors.

On a archivingAmerican said it now sees adjusted earnings per share for the current second quarter in the range of $1.00 to $1.15, down from its previous forecast of $1.15 to $1.45.

Even more disturbing was the revision of a key metric known as TRASM, or total revenue per available seat mile, a measure of airline revenue growth and efficiency. American’s TRASM guidance for the second quarter is now expected to decline approximately 5% to 6%, compared to its previous forecast of a decline of 1% to 2%. Operating margin also fell 1%, in a range of approximately 8.5% to 9.5%.

American shares are having their worst day since June 2020, during the height of the pandemic.

“We were surprised by the level of the guidance cut, but the factors behind it are probably not surprising to us,” Raymond James managing director Savi Syth told Yahoo Finance. “And we’ve mentioned this before, a lot of capacity, including in the U.S. and in the industry [is a problem].”

The revisions come ahead of the busy summer season for leisure travelers, which has become busier as pandemic conditions ease. Trip numbers at TSA checkpoints reached a new record for the year on May 24, with more than 2.9 million travelers flying ahead of Memorial Day weekend and the numbers increasing each day during the weekend compared to the previous year.

American Airlines rival, United Airlines reiterated its profit guidance for the second quarter. The Chicago-based airline projected earnings per share in the range of $3.75 to $4.25, signaling it sees a strong summer travel season ahead.

“Demand remains, but there is more price sensitivity,” Syth said regarding the overall travel sector, but noted that during peak periods like Memorial Day and Labor Day price sensitivity is not an issue.

Even as travelers look for better deals, they continue to fly, and American Airlines’ inability to capture more leisure and business travel is a concern for investors. Syth noted that American’s excess capacity during the off-peak travel season was another issue, but the airline said it was addressing excess capacity during its first-quarter earnings call last month.

FILE - An American Airlines jet descends a runway at Denver International Airport, Jan. 16, 2024, in Denver.  American Airlines is reducing some of its financial forecasts for the second quarter and announced the departure of its chief commercial officer.  (AP Photo/David Zalubowski, File)

An American Airlines plane descends the runway at Denver International Airport on January 16, 2024, in Denver. American Airlines is reducing some of its financial forecasts for the second quarter and announced the departure of its chief commercial officer. (AP Photo/David Zalubowski, File) (ASSOCIATED PRESS)

The departure of American’s former chief commercial officer, Vasu Raja, also made headlines. Raja’s moves to reduce long-haul flights, along with changes to the company’s sales force and reservations process and reduced emphasis on business travel, may have hurt American relative to its peers.

The story continues

One move Raja made that differed from his competitors was the focus on NDC (new distribution capacity), a platform that allowed travel agents and third-party websites to access airline fares and schedules. The implementation of the NDC system suffered from technical problems, but Raja wanted promote more American fares through its own website and NDC-powered sites either way, ultimately limiting the ability of consumers and business travelers to purchase American flights.

“Aggressive pressure on the NDC was right… but doing so at the same time as reducing its sales force and making other changes was not wise,” Syth said.

Syth also praised American’s decision to backtrack on another Raja initiative, which would have given shoppers more American loyalty program miles for booking flights on American’s preferred partner website.

Although American is not considered a discount airline, Syth said the airline’s focus on the Sunbelt and vacation states like Florida for leisure travelers has come at the expense of profitable locations for business travel. While she is confident that CEO Robert Isom is up to the task of reversing some operational mistakes, it will take time.

“I really think it all comes down to your grand corporate strategy, [and] I think the execution wasn’t good,” Syth said of American’s focus on leisure travel. “They are suffering from it now and it is reversible, but it will take time.”

Pras Subramanian is a reporter for Yahoo Finance. You can follow it Twitter and so on Instagram.

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Breakfast on Wall Street: The Week Ahead

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Wall Street Breakfast profile picture

The spotlight next week will shift somewhat to the Federal Reserve’s second-quarter earnings season and monetary policy. Market watchers will be treated to results from several major names, including Dow 30 components Goldman Sachs (GS), UnitedHealth (UNH), Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) and American Express (AXP), along with streaming giant Netflix (NFLX).

The Fed will still attract some attention as investors will be eager to hear from a packed lineup of central bank speakers just before the policy meeting lockout period.

In terms of the economic calendar, after fifteen days of labor market and inflation indicators, activity data will gain momentum in the form of the latest retail sales and industrial production reports.

Earnings Highlight: Monday, July 15 – Goldman Sachs (GS) and BlackRock (Black). See the full earnings calendar.

Earnings Highlight: Tuesday, July 16 – UnitedHealth (UNH), Bank of America (BAC), Progressive (PGR), Morgan Stanley (IN), PNC Financial (PNC) and JB Hunt Transport (JBHT). See the full earnings calendar.

Earnings Highlight: Wednesday, July 17 – Johnson & Johnson (JNJ), US Bancorp (USB), Morgan Children (KMI), United Airlines (UAL) and Ally Financial (ALLY). See the full earnings calendar.

Earnings Highlight: Thursday, July 18 – Netflix (NFLX), Abbott Laboratories (ABT), Black stone (BX), Domino’s pizza (ZDP) and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM). See the full earnings calendar.

Earnings Highlight: Friday, July 19 – American Express (AXP), Halliburton (THANKS) and Travelers (VRT (return to recoverable value)) See the full earnings calendar.

IPO Observation: Hospital and healthcare clinic operator Ardent Health Partners (TARDT), insurance service provider Twfg (TWFG) and the biotechnology company Lirum Therapeutics (LRTX) are expected to price their IPOs and begin trading next week. The analyst quiet period ends at Rectitude (RECT) to free up analysts to publish ratings.

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Trump shooting: Gold could hit record high, dollar and cryptocurrencies set to jump

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Police cars outside the residence of Thomas Matthew Crooks, the alleged shooter at a Trump rally on Saturday, investigate the area in Pennsylvania. In the aftermath of the incident, one rally attendee was killed, two rally attendees are in critical condition and Donald Trump suffered a non-fatal gunshot wound. The shooter is dead after being killed by the United States Secret Service. (Photo by Kyle Mazza/Anadolu via Getty Images)

Police cars outside the residence of Thomas Matthew Crooks, the suspected shooter at a Trump rally on Saturday, investigate the area in Pennsylvania. Following the incident, one rally attendee was killed, two rally attendees are in critical condition and Donald Trump suffered a non-fatal gunshot wound. The shooter is dead after being shot dead by the United States Secret Service. (Photo by Kyle Mazza/Anadolu via Getty Images)

Investors will initially favor traditional safe-haven assets and may lean toward trades more closely tied to former President Donald Trump’s chances of winning the White House after he survived an assassination attempt, according to market watchers.

“There will undoubtedly be some protectionist or safe-haven flows into Asia early this morning,” said Nick Twidale, chief market analyst at ATFX Global Markets. “I suspect gold could test all-time highs, we’ll see the yen being bought and the dollar, and flows into Treasuries as well.”

Early market commentary suggested Trump’s shooting at a rally in Pennsylvania on Saturday could also prompt traders to increase his likelihood of success in the November election. His support for looser fiscal policy and higher tariffs is generally seen as likely to benefit the dollar and weaken Treasuries.

An indicator of market sentiment heading into the weekend: Bitcoin surged above $60,000, likely reflecting Trump’s pro-crypto stance.

Other assets positively linked to the so-called Trump trade include stocks of energy companies, private prisons, credit card companies and health insurers.

Traders will also be closely watching market measures of expected volatility on Monday, such as those in the tariff-sensitive Chinese yuan and Mexican peso, which have begun to price in the U.S. vote.

Trump said he was shot in the right ear after a shooting at his rally. His campaign said in a statement that he was “fine” after the incident, which prompted him to rush off the stage.

“Currencies will be the first major market on Monday in Asia to react to the weekend’s shots. There’s potential for extra volatility, and getting a clear reading could be especially difficult because liquidity will be hurt by Japan’s national holiday,” said Garfield Reynolds, Asia team leader for Bloomberg Markets Live.

Strategists had already expected a volatile run-up to the election, particularly as Democrats are still agonizing over President Joe Biden’s candidacy after his poor performance in last month’s debate raised questions about his age. Investors were also grappling with the possibility that the election could end in a drawn-out dispute or political violence.

But there is little precedent for events like those in Pennsylvania. When President Ronald Reagan was shot four decades ago, the stock market plunged before closing early. The next day, March 31, 1981, the S&P 500 rose more than 1% and benchmark 10-year Treasury yields fell 9 basis points to 13.13%, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

Bond investors should pay particular attention as the attack is likely to boost Trump’s election chances and ultimately lead to concerns about the fiscal outlook, according to Marko Papic, chief strategist at California-based BCA Research Inc.

“The bond market must at some point become aware of President Trump’s greater chances of winning the White House than any of his rivals,” Papic wrote. “And I continue to believe that as his chances increase, so too must the likelihood of a bond market revolt.”

Kyle Rodda, senior financial markets analyst at Capital.com, said he was seeing client flows into Bitcoin and gold following the shooting.

“This news marks a turning point in American policy norms,” he said. “For markets, it means safe-haven trades, but more tilted toward non-traditional safe-havens.”

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Latest Business News Live Updates Today, July 11, 2024

FinCrypto Staff

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Latest Business News Live Updates Today, July 11, 2024

Follow us for stories on Bill Gates, Elon Musk, Mukesh Ambani, Gautam Adani as we bring you everything that’s happening in the business world. Follow the latest gold and silver prices here too. Stay in the know on all things business with us.

Latest news on July 11, 2024: Airtel says its new Xstream Fiber plans bundle over 350 live TV channels (Official Photo) (Reuters) Disclaimer: This is an AI-generated live blog and has not been edited by Hindustan Times staff.

Follow all the updates here:

  • Thu, 11 Jul 2024 08:44 PM

    Business News LIVE Updates: Decoding Airtel’s new Xstream Fiber packages, finding value with Live TV and OTT

    • Airtel confirms to HT that the live TV proposition is being delivered using its DTH network, while the bundled streaming subscriptions are an extension of its Xstream Play platform.

    Read the full story here

  • Thu, 11 Jul 2024 03:58 PM

    Business News LIVE Updates: TCS Q1 results meet estimates: Net profit up 9%, ₹10 dividend declared

    • TCS’s consolidated revenue rose 5.4% to Rs 626.13 billion in the June quarter. Analysts had expected revenue of Rs 622.07 billion, as per LSEG data.

    Read the full story here

  • Thu, 11 Jul 2024 03:51 PM

    Business News LIVE Updates: Indian companies falsified generic Viagra data to get approval, says US FDA: Report

    • Synapse Labs Pvt. Ltd may have been used in hundreds of drugs that are still available for sale, the report said.

    Read the full story here

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  • Thu, 11 Jul 2024 03:09 PM

    LIVE Business News Updates: Namita Thapar’s emotional post on Emcure IPO listing: ‘Mirza Ghalib sums up my feelings’

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    LIVE business news updates: Amazon could face investigation over treatment of UK food suppliers, watchdog says

    • An Amazon spokesperson said the company has made several improvements for food suppliers since last year’s results.

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    LIVE Business News Updates: This Bengaluru company aims to launch a ‘space habitat’ by 2027, in talks with SpaceX

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    Business News LIVE Updates: Amazon India employees on working conditions: Made to stand for hours, bathroom breaks not allowed

    • A survey conducted by UNI Global Union with the Amazon India Workers Association had 1,838 participants who alleged appalling working conditions at Amazon facilities in India.

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    LIVE Business News Updates: UK overhauls listing rules in bid to attract IPOs to London: What has changed?

    • The new rules allow companies to carry out more activities without putting them to a shareholder vote, the UK’s Financial Conduct Authority said.

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    Business News LIVE Updates: Want to send money abroad? Open foreign currency accounts at GIFT City

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  • Thu, 11 Jul 2024 11:30 AM

    Business News LIVE Updates: First Abu Dhabi Bank denies interest in acquiring stake in Yes Bank: Report

    • The report said the Yes Bank stake sale has attracted interest from Japan, including Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group Inc. and Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group Inc.

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    LIVE Business News Updates: TCS Share Price Surges Ahead of Q1 Results: What Brokers Say About the Stock

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    LIVE Business News Updates: Reliance Jio IPO listing likely in 2025 at $112 billion valuation: Jefferies

    • Jio “could list at a valuation of $112 billion” and add “7-15 percent upside” to Reliance Industries’ share price, Jefferies said.

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  • Thu, 11 Jul 2024 09:42 AM

    LIVE Business News Updates: Yes Bank shares rise after Moody’s revises outlook to ‘positive’ from ‘stable’

    • Global rating agency Moody’s has raised its outlook on Yes Bank to positive from “stable” despite expectations of a gradual improvement in its depositor base.

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    Business News LIVE Updates: Sahaj Solar IPO opens today: All you need to know before subscribing to the issue

    • Sahaj Solar IPO: The block issue aims to raise ₹52.56 crore through issuance of 2.92 million new shares and will close on July 15.

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    LIVE Business News Updates: Why Analysts Believe India’s Earnings Season May Disappoint Stock Market Investors

    • Investors in Indian stocks hoping for a robust earnings season to justify expensive valuations are likely to be disappointed.

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  • Thu, 11 Jul 2024 08:35 AM

    LIVE Business News Updates: Elon Musk Says Second Neuralink Brain Implant Will ‘Give People Superpowers’ Within a Week

    • Elon Musk said Neuralink will make some changes to try to alleviate the problem of its electrode wires retracting from brain tissue.

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  • Thu, 11 Jul 2024 07:59 AM

    LIVE Business News Updates: Apple warns Indian iPhone users of possible Pegasus-like ‘spyware attack’

    • In April this year, the Indian Computer Emergency Response Team (Cert-In) flagged several vulnerabilities in Apple’s operating system for iPhone and iPad.

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  • Thu, 11 Jul 2024 07:45 AM

    Business News LIVE Updates: US stock markets at record highs led by world’s biggest tech companies

    • The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index rose 2.4% to a record high after Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. reported strong quarterly revenue.

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News / Business / Latest Business News Live Updates Today, July 11, 2024

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Jio Financial share price: Should you buy this Reliance group stock on Monday ahead of Q1 FY2024 results?

FinCrypto Staff

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Jio Financial share price: Should you buy this Reliance group stock on Monday ahead of Q1 FY2024 results?

Q1 2024 Results: Jio Financial Share Price will be in focus on Monday as the Reliance Group company has a fixed board meeting on July 15, 2024 to consider and approve the company’s unaudited standalone and consolidated financial results. Trust Group company informed about the Q1 2024 Results date on Wednesday last week via an exchange filing. According to stock market experts, Jio Financial Services Limited is poised to deliver impressive Q1 results for FY25 on solid operating income. They have forecast a healthy QoQ PAT for the company in Q1 FY25.

Jio Financial Services News

Speaking on the Jio Financial Services Q1 2024 results, Manish Chowdhury, Head of Research, StoxBox, said, “We believe Jio Financial Services is poised to deliver impressive results in Q1FY25 aided by its operating income, which is likely to show robust growth driven by strong investment income, which in turn should lead to healthy PAT growth on a sequential basis. Jio Financial Services continues to make strategic moves such as launching digital products and expanding its ecosystem, with a clear focus on future growth. The company has announced plans to introduce products for lending against stocks and mutual funds, leveraging Jio’s large user base, which could be a significant growth driver in the coming quarters.”

“Furthermore, with the NBFC receiving RBI approval to become a primary investment company, Jio Financial Services is well-positioned to unlock value from its investments. Overall, we expect the company to report robust numbers in the upcoming quarter,” the StoxBox expert added.

Jio Financial Stock Target Price

Speaking about the technical outlook of Jio Financial share price, Ganesh Dongre, Senior Manager, Technical Research at Anand Rathi, said, “Jio Financial Services share price is poised to make a fresh high at the ₹260 apiece level. If the stock breaks above this mark, the Reliance Group stock could make a fresh high by touching the ₹290-₹295 zone. Hence, those with Jio Finance stock in their portfolio are advised to stick to the script by keeping a stop loss at ₹205. If the stock breaks above ₹260 decisively, then one can upgrade the stop loss at ₹240 for the near-term target of ₹295.”

On the advice to new buyers regarding Jio Financial stock, Ganesh Dongre said, “New buyers are advised to wait for the breakout. Once the stock breaks above ₹260, one can buy this Reliance Group stock at the short term target of ₹295, keeping a stop loss of ₹240 apiece.”

Disclaimer: The views and recommendations made above are those of individual analysts or brokerage firms, and not of Mint. Investors are advised to consult with certified experts before making any investment decisions.

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