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Why I Still Think GameStop Is a Trap
This is the summary of today’s morning summary, which you can sign up to receive in your inbox every morning along with:
Sometimes there is no middle ground in the cutthroat world of business.
You are also a winner.
Or you are a loser.
A winner wins because they are doing something better than everyone else, usually over a long period of time. Through a mix of perseverance, creativity and excellence in execution, the winner builds on their success and expands their leadership.
There is a dose of luck in this too.
A loser, well, does exactly the opposite of this manual.
I come back with this simple message after another wild week of trading in GameStop stock (GME) – one dominated by one unverified social media account allegedly led by a guy known for wearing a red bandana, goofy t-shirts, and a tendency to flex his supposed dollars in a trading account.
GameStop stinks. You will 100% be a loser in the long run. Maybe 110%.
And you want to know, friends?
To reiterate this point, I’m not going to use any of the sophisticated analysis I learned while covering 55 retail companies as an independent equity analyst. I will do two things.
First, note that the company’s first-quarter sales fell 29% year over year. The company lost $32.3 million in the quarter, compared with a loss of $50.5 million a year earlier.
Business trends are getting worse!
Here are those numbers via the company’s ridiculously brief earnings release on Friday morning.
Secondly, I will create a link to the company website latest annual report hereand add these quick notes:
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The company refuses to aggressively reduce a store base that totals 4,169 locations worldwide. Stores that sell similar products, such as Walmart (WMT) are aggressively investing in AI and same-day delivery services – practically making visiting competing stores a waste of time.
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The company is losing a lot of money amid a persistent and structural trend of declining sales.
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Margins are under pressure, and have been.
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The company is overly reliant on consoles – 56.8% of sales came from hardware and accessories last year. But console sales face an increasingly bleak outlook as PCs and smartphones compete for market share.
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The three objectives listed in the “business strategy” section – establishing retail excellence, achieving profitability and leveraging brand value – are not being executed consistently.
You GME fans might not want to admit it, but fundamentally analyzing a company is still important. This is how market mechanisms work. This is how true wealth is built.
The story continues
“You can never lose sight of the fundamentals,” said Interactive Brokers chief strategist Steve Sosnick in my “Opening bid” podcast (video above), adding that GameStop’s top and bottom lines will likely remain under pressure.
Keith “Roaring Kitty” Gill works hard on a Yahoo Finance GameStop chart on Friday, returning to streaming stocks on his YouTube channel. (Brian Sozzi)
That’s why these shares went from a high of $66 when “activist investor” turned CEO Ryan Cohen joined the board in January 2021 to a low of $9.95 in mid-April, before the last wave of Keith Gill antics. Shares closed at $28.22 on Friday.
Cohen did everything he could to reverse the company’s future trajectory. In the meantime, the company’s performance has been dismal. I keep everything I I wrote in my open letter to Cohen on June 9, 2023when the stock was trading at $23.
In fact, I’m going to take it a step further – I’m personally inviting Cohen to Yahoo Finance’s big fall Invest conference (2023 distinguished speaker list here) to debate me on the main stage about what the hell he’s doing with GameStop.
Ryan, the event will be on November 12th in New York City. My email is below.
You owe it to your legions of supporters to discuss what you are doing with public support and their money.
And don’t text me that Cohen saved the company with his recent $933.4 million cash grab through a stock offering and another Planned offering of 75 million released on Friday. All this does is ensure that the company can continue buying inventory for a few years while also getting out of a plethora of store leases that most of America doesn’t visit.
What does it look like to win in the consumer space? Check out these links:
Do you want to debate me on GameStop today?
I’m waving you into the Octagon at X – I’ll be here all day @BrianSozzi replying to your messages. Any inappropriate message and I will block your account. I want to hear your honest review of this company and why you love it.
In the meantime, enjoy reading GameStop’s 10-K.
Still can’t get enough of GameStop? Here’s what famous value investor Jonathan Boyar said about the company in “Opening bid“.
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Brian Sozzi is the executive editor of Yahoo Finance. He is also the host of “Opening bid“podcast. Follow Sozzi on Twitter/X @BrianSozzi and so on LinkedIn. Tips on business, mergers, activist situations or anything else? Email brian.sozzi@yahoofinance.com. Are you a CEO and want to participate in Yahoo Finance Live? Email Brian Sozzi.
Click here for the latest stock market news and in-depth analysis, including events moving stocks
Read the latest financial and business news from Yahoo Finance
News
Breakfast on Wall Street: The Week Ahead
The spotlight next week will shift somewhat to the Federal Reserve’s second-quarter earnings season and monetary policy. Market watchers will be treated to results from several major names, including Dow 30 components Goldman Sachs (GS), UnitedHealth (UNH), Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) and American Express (AXP), along with streaming giant Netflix (NFLX).
The Fed will still attract some attention as investors will be eager to hear from a packed lineup of central bank speakers just before the policy meeting lockout period.
In terms of the economic calendar, after fifteen days of labor market and inflation indicators, activity data will gain momentum in the form of the latest retail sales and industrial production reports.
Earnings Highlight: Monday, July 15 – Goldman Sachs (GS) and BlackRock (Black). See the full earnings calendar.
Earnings Highlight: Tuesday, July 16 – UnitedHealth (UNH), Bank of America (BAC), Progressive (PGR), Morgan Stanley (IN), PNC Financial (PNC) and JB Hunt Transport (JBHT). See the full earnings calendar.
Earnings Highlight: Wednesday, July 17 – Johnson & Johnson (JNJ), US Bancorp (USB), Morgan Children (KMI), United Airlines (UAL) and Ally Financial (ALLY). See the full earnings calendar.
Earnings Highlight: Thursday, July 18 – Netflix (NFLX), Abbott Laboratories (ABT), Black stone (BX), Domino’s pizza (ZDP) and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM). See the full earnings calendar.
Earnings Highlight: Friday, July 19 – American Express (AXP), Halliburton (THANKS) and Travelers (VRT (return to recoverable value)) See the full earnings calendar.
IPO Observation: Hospital and healthcare clinic operator Ardent Health Partners (TARDT), insurance service provider Twfg (TWFG) and the biotechnology company Lirum Therapeutics (LRTX) are expected to price their IPOs and begin trading next week. The analyst quiet period ends at Rectitude (RECT) to free up analysts to publish ratings.
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Trump shooting: Gold could hit record high, dollar and cryptocurrencies set to jump
Police cars outside the residence of Thomas Matthew Crooks, the suspected shooter at a Trump rally on Saturday, investigate the area in Pennsylvania. Following the incident, one rally attendee was killed, two rally attendees are in critical condition and Donald Trump suffered a non-fatal gunshot wound. The shooter is dead after being shot dead by the United States Secret Service. (Photo by Kyle Mazza/Anadolu via Getty Images)
Investors will initially favor traditional safe-haven assets and may lean toward trades more closely tied to former President Donald Trump’s chances of winning the White House after he survived an assassination attempt, according to market watchers.
“There will undoubtedly be some protectionist or safe-haven flows into Asia early this morning,” said Nick Twidale, chief market analyst at ATFX Global Markets. “I suspect gold could test all-time highs, we’ll see the yen being bought and the dollar, and flows into Treasuries as well.”
Early market commentary suggested Trump’s shooting at a rally in Pennsylvania on Saturday could also prompt traders to increase his likelihood of success in the November election. His support for looser fiscal policy and higher tariffs is generally seen as likely to benefit the dollar and weaken Treasuries.
An indicator of market sentiment heading into the weekend: Bitcoin surged above $60,000, likely reflecting Trump’s pro-crypto stance.
Other assets positively linked to the so-called Trump trade include stocks of energy companies, private prisons, credit card companies and health insurers.
Traders will also be closely watching market measures of expected volatility on Monday, such as those in the tariff-sensitive Chinese yuan and Mexican peso, which have begun to price in the U.S. vote.
Trump said he was shot in the right ear after a shooting at his rally. His campaign said in a statement that he was “fine” after the incident, which prompted him to rush off the stage.
“Currencies will be the first major market on Monday in Asia to react to the weekend’s shots. There’s potential for extra volatility, and getting a clear reading could be especially difficult because liquidity will be hurt by Japan’s national holiday,” said Garfield Reynolds, Asia team leader for Bloomberg Markets Live.
Strategists had already expected a volatile run-up to the election, particularly as Democrats are still agonizing over President Joe Biden’s candidacy after his poor performance in last month’s debate raised questions about his age. Investors were also grappling with the possibility that the election could end in a drawn-out dispute or political violence.
But there is little precedent for events like those in Pennsylvania. When President Ronald Reagan was shot four decades ago, the stock market plunged before closing early. The next day, March 31, 1981, the S&P 500 rose more than 1% and benchmark 10-year Treasury yields fell 9 basis points to 13.13%, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.
Bond investors should pay particular attention as the attack is likely to boost Trump’s election chances and ultimately lead to concerns about the fiscal outlook, according to Marko Papic, chief strategist at California-based BCA Research Inc.
“The bond market must at some point become aware of President Trump’s greater chances of winning the White House than any of his rivals,” Papic wrote. “And I continue to believe that as his chances increase, so too must the likelihood of a bond market revolt.”
Kyle Rodda, senior financial markets analyst at Capital.com, said he was seeing client flows into Bitcoin and gold following the shooting.
“This news marks a turning point in American policy norms,” he said. “For markets, it means safe-haven trades, but more tilted toward non-traditional safe-havens.”
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Latest Business News Live Updates Today, July 11, 2024
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Latest news on July 11, 2024: Airtel says its new Xstream Fiber plans bundle over 350 live TV channels (Official Photo) (Reuters) Disclaimer: This is an AI-generated live blog and has not been edited by Hindustan Times staff.
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Thu, 11 Jul 2024 08:44 PM
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Business News LIVE Updates: TCS Q1 results meet estimates: Net profit up 9%, ₹10 dividend declared
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Thu, 11 Jul 2024 03:51 PM
Business News LIVE Updates: Indian companies falsified generic Viagra data to get approval, says US FDA: Report
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LIVE Business News Updates: Namita Thapar’s emotional post on Emcure IPO listing: ‘Mirza Ghalib sums up my feelings’
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LIVE Business News Updates: TCS Share Price Surges Ahead of Q1 Results: What Brokers Say About the Stock
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LIVE Business News Updates: Reliance Jio IPO listing likely in 2025 at $112 billion valuation: Jefferies
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LIVE Business News Updates: Why Analysts Believe India’s Earnings Season May Disappoint Stock Market Investors
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LIVE Business News Updates: Apple warns Indian iPhone users of possible Pegasus-like ‘spyware attack’
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Thu, 11 Jul 2024 07:45 AM
Business News LIVE Updates: US stock markets at record highs led by world’s biggest tech companies
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Jio Financial share price: Should you buy this Reliance group stock on Monday ahead of Q1 FY2024 results?
Q1 2024 Results: Jio Financial Share Price will be in focus on Monday as the Reliance Group company has a fixed board meeting on July 15, 2024 to consider and approve the company’s unaudited standalone and consolidated financial results. Trust Group company informed about the Q1 2024 Results date on Wednesday last week via an exchange filing. According to stock market experts, Jio Financial Services Limited is poised to deliver impressive Q1 results for FY25 on solid operating income. They have forecast a healthy QoQ PAT for the company in Q1 FY25.
Jio Financial Services News
Speaking on the Jio Financial Services Q1 2024 results, Manish Chowdhury, Head of Research, StoxBox, said, “We believe Jio Financial Services is poised to deliver impressive results in Q1FY25 aided by its operating income, which is likely to show robust growth driven by strong investment income, which in turn should lead to healthy PAT growth on a sequential basis. Jio Financial Services continues to make strategic moves such as launching digital products and expanding its ecosystem, with a clear focus on future growth. The company has announced plans to introduce products for lending against stocks and mutual funds, leveraging Jio’s large user base, which could be a significant growth driver in the coming quarters.”
“Furthermore, with the NBFC receiving RBI approval to become a primary investment company, Jio Financial Services is well-positioned to unlock value from its investments. Overall, we expect the company to report robust numbers in the upcoming quarter,” the StoxBox expert added.
Jio Financial Stock Target Price
Speaking about the technical outlook of Jio Financial share price, Ganesh Dongre, Senior Manager, Technical Research at Anand Rathi, said, “Jio Financial Services share price is poised to make a fresh high at the ₹260 apiece level. If the stock breaks above this mark, the Reliance Group stock could make a fresh high by touching the ₹290-₹295 zone. Hence, those with Jio Finance stock in their portfolio are advised to stick to the script by keeping a stop loss at ₹205. If the stock breaks above ₹260 decisively, then one can upgrade the stop loss at ₹240 for the near-term target of ₹295.”
On the advice to new buyers regarding Jio Financial stock, Ganesh Dongre said, “New buyers are advised to wait for the breakout. Once the stock breaks above ₹260, one can buy this Reliance Group stock at the short term target of ₹295, keeping a stop loss of ₹240 apiece.”
Disclaimer: The views and recommendations made above are those of individual analysts or brokerage firms, and not of Mint. Investors are advised to consult with certified experts before making any investment decisions.
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