News
Mark Carney Speculates Summer Mirage for Corporate Canada
Breadcrumb links
For many in Canadian business, the federal election can’t come soon enough
Published on July 8, 2024 • Last updated 6 minutes ago • 4 minutes read
You can save this article by registering for free here. Or to enter if you have an account.
Mark Carney speaks during the Canada 2020 Net-Zero Leadership Summit in Ottawa in 2023. Media reports say Justin Trudeau is courting the former governor of the Bank of Canada and the Bank of England for the post of finance minister. Photo by Sean Kilpatrick/THE CANADIAN PRESS
Article content
In the whirlwind of political unrest that has characterized the last few weeks, amid dozens of stories that report Justin TrudeauGiven the country’s precarious situation, a report must have seemed like an oasis in the desert to Canada’s beleaguered business community.
Althia Raj of the Toronto Star recently reported that Trudeau has begun a dialogue with Mark Carney on at least two occasions, discussing the possibility of the first Bank of Canada governor joining the government as finance minister. Such a move would be aimed at placating disgruntled caucus members calling for drastic change and a new political direction for a Liberal Party seemingly on the brink of a historic election defeat, if polls are to be believed.
Ad 2
This ad has not yet loaded, but its article continues below.
THIS CONTENT IS RESERVED FOR SUBSCRIBERS ONLY
Subscribe now to read the latest news in your city and across Canada.
- Exclusive articles by Barbara Shecter, Joe O’Connor, Gabriel Friedman, Victoria Wells and others.
- Daily content from the Financial Times, the world’s leading global business publication.
- Unlimited online access to read articles from the Financial Post, National Post and 15 news sites across Canada with one account.
- National Post ePaper, an electronic replica of the print edition for viewing on any device, sharing and commenting.
- Daily puzzles, including the New York Times Crossword.
SUBSCRIBE TO UNLOCK MORE ARTICLES
Subscribe now to read the latest news in your city and across Canada.
- Exclusive articles by Barbara Shecter, Joe O’Connor, Gabriel Friedman, Victoria Wells and others.
- Daily content from the Financial Times, the world’s leading global business publication.
- Unlimited online access to read articles from the Financial Post, National Post and 15 news sites across Canada with one account.
- National Post ePaper, an electronic replica of the print edition for viewing on any device, sharing and commenting.
- Daily puzzles, including the New York Times Crossword.
REGISTER / LOGIN TO UNLOCK MORE ARTICLES
Create an account or log in to continue your reading experience.
- Access articles from across Canada with a single account.
- Share your thoughts and join the conversation in the comments.
- Enjoy additional articles each month.
- Get email updates from your favorite authors.
Login or create an account
or
Article content
Carney, a towering figure in Canadian public policy over the past two decades, has the distinction of having served as governor of the Bank of Canada and the Bank of England. His name has also been floated as a potential Liberal leadership candidate to succeed Trudeau.
The prospect of Carney taking charge of the nation’s economy likely provided brief solace to the anxious minds of corporate executives across the country, who are facing what they believe will be one of the most difficult political scenarios in decades.
Questions of electability and political acumen aside, Canadian businesses likely view Carney as one of the most qualified individuals alive for the job of finance minister.
Amid the uncertainty, the idea of Carney taking over as finance minister must have briefly renewed hope in the business community that a change in political outlook is possible; surpassed only by the prospect of a snap election to provide more clarity.
However, both scenarios may be as insubstantial as a mirage.
Imagine Carney agreeing to take on a job that includes pandering on economic policy to Trudeau’s aides in the prime minister’s office or the left-wing New Democratic Party, which is currently supporting Trudeau’s government. It strains credulity.
Best stories
Thanks for signing up!
Article content
Ad 3
This ad has not yet loaded, but its article continues below.
Article content
In reality, a more likely scenario for companies in the coming months is one marked by uncertainty, conflict and continued political inconsistency until the next election.
Rather than adopt Carney’s pragmatism, the Trudeau government’s latest moves have been to double down on policies perceived by the business sector as economically damaging.
With the government in a frantic scramble to save its political standing, the question echoing in boardrooms is: will we be the next target?
The unease simmering among top executives extends beyond frustration with the Liberals. The Conservatives are also perceived as an unknown entity, increasingly positioning themselves as antagonistic to corporate interests. Yet they are not the party currently in power.
Let’s revisit the growing list of corporate grievances with the current government (in no particular order and by no means exhaustive):
Digital Services Tax on tech companies: The Liberal government’s new digital services tax risks becoming a significant point of contention with the US government, with American tech giants calling for retaliation. Robin Guy of the Canadian Chamber of Commerce has warned starkly about its potential repercussions: “It will significantly damage our relationship with the United States.”
Ad 4
This ad has not yet loaded, but its article continues below.
Article content
Emissions cap in the oil and gas sector:The Canadian business community fears that this measure will effectively limit energy production, which could cost the country’s economy hundreds of billions in export revenue and lost investment.
New capital gains taxes and early adoption of the global minimum tax: The capital gains tax is retroactive, leaving investors feeling like the government is simply making a play for their money at the expense of investment certainty. The global minimum tax, which was also recently adopted, is being imposed on our companies earlier than in many other jurisdictions, meaning that multinationals headquartered in Canada will face a higher tax burden than their global competitors.
Anti-strikebreaking legislation: Backed by conservatives, this legislation, which went into effect earlier this year, is anticipated by business groups to lead to longer and more frequent strikes. More broadly, there is growing concern that the federal government has become too deferential to organized labor.
New greenwashing legislation:The Canadian Chamber of Commerce argues that this measure will restrict the ability of companies to “openly contribute to Canada’s climate goals.”
Ad 5
This ad has not yet loaded, but its article continues below.
Article content
Second wave of amendments: The greenwashing measures represent the third change to Canada’s competition law since 2022, raising concerns about consistency. The controversial changes include a measure that streamlines the competition commissioner’s ability to challenge mergers, a move opposed by some business groups.
Canadian businesses certainly support numerous government policies, such as the widely supported carbon pricing initiative and the tens of billions in subsidies the Trudeau government is offering to encourage clean energy investment.
While challenges abound, there are also significant reasons for optimism about Canada’s economic future. A growing population, a robust resource sector, and a relatively favorable fiscal outlook compared to many other advanced economies all add up to a promising outlook. When pressed, executives will acknowledge these advantages.
Recommended by the Editorial
-
Rising regime shift risk dampens reaction to emissions cap
-
Trudeau cannot continue to stimulate the economy with more spending
-
Why economists are warning about immigration
However, the reservoir of goodwill between the government and corporate Canada has been depleted. Business groups have shifted into resistance mode, and for many in the corporate world, an election can’t come soon enough.
Theo Argitis is managing director of Compass Rose Group and publishes the Means & Ways newsletter, in which this commentary first appeared.
Article content
Share this article on your social network
News
Breakfast on Wall Street: The Week Ahead
The spotlight next week will shift somewhat to the Federal Reserve’s second-quarter earnings season and monetary policy. Market watchers will be treated to results from several major names, including Dow 30 components Goldman Sachs (GS), UnitedHealth (UNH), Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) and American Express (AXP), along with streaming giant Netflix (NFLX).
The Fed will still attract some attention as investors will be eager to hear from a packed lineup of central bank speakers just before the policy meeting lockout period.
In terms of the economic calendar, after fifteen days of labor market and inflation indicators, activity data will gain momentum in the form of the latest retail sales and industrial production reports.
Earnings Highlight: Monday, July 15 – Goldman Sachs (GS) and BlackRock (Black). See the full earnings calendar.
Earnings Highlight: Tuesday, July 16 – UnitedHealth (UNH), Bank of America (BAC), Progressive (PGR), Morgan Stanley (IN), PNC Financial (PNC) and JB Hunt Transport (JBHT). See the full earnings calendar.
Earnings Highlight: Wednesday, July 17 – Johnson & Johnson (JNJ), US Bancorp (USB), Morgan Children (KMI), United Airlines (UAL) and Ally Financial (ALLY). See the full earnings calendar.
Earnings Highlight: Thursday, July 18 – Netflix (NFLX), Abbott Laboratories (ABT), Black stone (BX), Domino’s pizza (ZDP) and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM). See the full earnings calendar.
Earnings Highlight: Friday, July 19 – American Express (AXP), Halliburton (THANKS) and Travelers (VRT (return to recoverable value)) See the full earnings calendar.
IPO Observation: Hospital and healthcare clinic operator Ardent Health Partners (TARDT), insurance service provider Twfg (TWFG) and the biotechnology company Lirum Therapeutics (LRTX) are expected to price their IPOs and begin trading next week. The analyst quiet period ends at Rectitude (RECT) to free up analysts to publish ratings.
News
Trump shooting: Gold could hit record high, dollar and cryptocurrencies set to jump
Police cars outside the residence of Thomas Matthew Crooks, the suspected shooter at a Trump rally on Saturday, investigate the area in Pennsylvania. Following the incident, one rally attendee was killed, two rally attendees are in critical condition and Donald Trump suffered a non-fatal gunshot wound. The shooter is dead after being shot dead by the United States Secret Service. (Photo by Kyle Mazza/Anadolu via Getty Images)
Investors will initially favor traditional safe-haven assets and may lean toward trades more closely tied to former President Donald Trump’s chances of winning the White House after he survived an assassination attempt, according to market watchers.
“There will undoubtedly be some protectionist or safe-haven flows into Asia early this morning,” said Nick Twidale, chief market analyst at ATFX Global Markets. “I suspect gold could test all-time highs, we’ll see the yen being bought and the dollar, and flows into Treasuries as well.”
Early market commentary suggested Trump’s shooting at a rally in Pennsylvania on Saturday could also prompt traders to increase his likelihood of success in the November election. His support for looser fiscal policy and higher tariffs is generally seen as likely to benefit the dollar and weaken Treasuries.
An indicator of market sentiment heading into the weekend: Bitcoin surged above $60,000, likely reflecting Trump’s pro-crypto stance.
Other assets positively linked to the so-called Trump trade include stocks of energy companies, private prisons, credit card companies and health insurers.
Traders will also be closely watching market measures of expected volatility on Monday, such as those in the tariff-sensitive Chinese yuan and Mexican peso, which have begun to price in the U.S. vote.
Trump said he was shot in the right ear after a shooting at his rally. His campaign said in a statement that he was “fine” after the incident, which prompted him to rush off the stage.
“Currencies will be the first major market on Monday in Asia to react to the weekend’s shots. There’s potential for extra volatility, and getting a clear reading could be especially difficult because liquidity will be hurt by Japan’s national holiday,” said Garfield Reynolds, Asia team leader for Bloomberg Markets Live.
Strategists had already expected a volatile run-up to the election, particularly as Democrats are still agonizing over President Joe Biden’s candidacy after his poor performance in last month’s debate raised questions about his age. Investors were also grappling with the possibility that the election could end in a drawn-out dispute or political violence.
But there is little precedent for events like those in Pennsylvania. When President Ronald Reagan was shot four decades ago, the stock market plunged before closing early. The next day, March 31, 1981, the S&P 500 rose more than 1% and benchmark 10-year Treasury yields fell 9 basis points to 13.13%, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.
Bond investors should pay particular attention as the attack is likely to boost Trump’s election chances and ultimately lead to concerns about the fiscal outlook, according to Marko Papic, chief strategist at California-based BCA Research Inc.
“The bond market must at some point become aware of President Trump’s greater chances of winning the White House than any of his rivals,” Papic wrote. “And I continue to believe that as his chances increase, so too must the likelihood of a bond market revolt.”
Kyle Rodda, senior financial markets analyst at Capital.com, said he was seeing client flows into Bitcoin and gold following the shooting.
“This news marks a turning point in American policy norms,” he said. “For markets, it means safe-haven trades, but more tilted toward non-traditional safe-havens.”
News
Latest Business News Live Updates Today, July 11, 2024
Follow us for stories on Bill Gates, Elon Musk, Mukesh Ambani, Gautam Adani as we bring you everything that’s happening in the business world. Follow the latest gold and silver prices here too. Stay in the know on all things business with us.
Latest news on July 11, 2024: Airtel says its new Xstream Fiber plans bundle over 350 live TV channels (Official Photo) (Reuters) Disclaimer: This is an AI-generated live blog and has not been edited by Hindustan Times staff.
Follow all the updates here:
-
Thu, 11 Jul 2024 08:44 PM
Business News LIVE Updates: Decoding Airtel’s new Xstream Fiber packages, finding value with Live TV and OTT
- Airtel confirms to HT that the live TV proposition is being delivered using its DTH network, while the bundled streaming subscriptions are an extension of its Xstream Play platform.
-
Thu, 11 Jul 2024 03:58 PM
Business News LIVE Updates: TCS Q1 results meet estimates: Net profit up 9%, ₹10 dividend declared
- TCS’s consolidated revenue rose 5.4% to Rs 626.13 billion in the June quarter. Analysts had expected revenue of Rs 622.07 billion, as per LSEG data.
-
Thu, 11 Jul 2024 03:51 PM
Business News LIVE Updates: Indian companies falsified generic Viagra data to get approval, says US FDA: Report
- Synapse Labs Pvt. Ltd may have been used in hundreds of drugs that are still available for sale, the report said.
-
Thu, 11 Jul 2024 03:09 PM
LIVE Business News Updates: Namita Thapar’s emotional post on Emcure IPO listing: ‘Mirza Ghalib sums up my feelings’
- Emcure Pharmaceuticals was listed at ₹1,325.05, up 31.45% on the BSE and NSE on July 10.
-
Thu, 11 Jul 2024 02:39 PM
LIVE business news updates: Amazon could face investigation over treatment of UK food suppliers, watchdog says
- An Amazon spokesperson said the company has made several improvements for food suppliers since last year’s results.
-
Thu, 11 Jul 2024 01:39 PM
LIVE Business News Updates: This Bengaluru company aims to launch a ‘space habitat’ by 2027, in talks with SpaceX
- AkashaLabdhi calls itself a “home among the stars” as it says the company’s area of expertise is signal processing and continuous automation.
-
Thu, 11 Jul 2024 01:10 PM
Business News LIVE Updates: Amazon India employees on working conditions: Made to stand for hours, bathroom breaks not allowed
- A survey conducted by UNI Global Union with the Amazon India Workers Association had 1,838 participants who alleged appalling working conditions at Amazon facilities in India.
-
Thu, 11 Jul 2024 12:44 PM
LIVE Business News Updates: UK overhauls listing rules in bid to attract IPOs to London: What has changed?
- The new rules allow companies to carry out more activities without putting them to a shareholder vote, the UK’s Financial Conduct Authority said.
-
Thu, 11 Jul 2024 12:18 PM
Business News LIVE Updates: Want to send money abroad? Open foreign currency accounts at GIFT City
- Foreign currency accounts will be like a bank account in India, but instead of rupees, you hold foreign currency like US dollars.
-
Thu, 11 Jul 2024 11:30 AM
Business News LIVE Updates: First Abu Dhabi Bank denies interest in acquiring stake in Yes Bank: Report
- The report said the Yes Bank stake sale has attracted interest from Japan, including Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group Inc. and Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group Inc.
-
Thu, 11 Jul 2024 11:04 AM
LIVE Business News Updates: TCS Share Price Surges Ahead of Q1 Results: What Brokers Say About the Stock
- TCS Share Price: The stock opened at ₹3,944.65 against its previous close of ₹3,909.90. It then rose 1.8 percent to ₹3,979.90 level.
-
Thu, 11 Jul 2024 10:22 AM
LIVE Business News Updates: Reliance Jio IPO listing likely in 2025 at $112 billion valuation: Jefferies
- Jio “could list at a valuation of $112 billion” and add “7-15 percent upside” to Reliance Industries’ share price, Jefferies said.
-
Thu, 11 Jul 2024 09:42 AM
LIVE Business News Updates: Yes Bank shares rise after Moody’s revises outlook to ‘positive’ from ‘stable’
- Global rating agency Moody’s has raised its outlook on Yes Bank to positive from “stable” despite expectations of a gradual improvement in its depositor base.
-
Thu, 11 Jul 2024 09:16 AM
Business News LIVE Updates: Sahaj Solar IPO opens today: All you need to know before subscribing to the issue
- Sahaj Solar IPO: The block issue aims to raise ₹52.56 crore through issuance of 2.92 million new shares and will close on July 15.
-
Thu, 11 Jul 2024 08:40 AM
LIVE Business News Updates: Why Analysts Believe India’s Earnings Season May Disappoint Stock Market Investors
- Investors in Indian stocks hoping for a robust earnings season to justify expensive valuations are likely to be disappointed.
-
Thu, 11 Jul 2024 08:35 AM
LIVE Business News Updates: Elon Musk Says Second Neuralink Brain Implant Will ‘Give People Superpowers’ Within a Week
- Elon Musk said Neuralink will make some changes to try to alleviate the problem of its electrode wires retracting from brain tissue.
-
Thu, 11 Jul 2024 07:59 AM
LIVE Business News Updates: Apple warns Indian iPhone users of possible Pegasus-like ‘spyware attack’
- In April this year, the Indian Computer Emergency Response Team (Cert-In) flagged several vulnerabilities in Apple’s operating system for iPhone and iPad.
-
Thu, 11 Jul 2024 07:45 AM
Business News LIVE Updates: US stock markets at record highs led by world’s biggest tech companies
- The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index rose 2.4% to a record high after Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. reported strong quarterly revenue.
{{^userSubscribed}} {{/userSubscribed}} {{^userSubscribed}} {{/userSubscribed}}
{{^userSubscribed}} {{/userSubscribed}} {{^userSubscribed}} {{/userSubscribed}}
{{^userSubscribed}} {{/userSubscribed}} {{^userSubscribed}} {{/userSubscribed}}
{{^userSubscribed}} {{/userSubscribed}} {{^userSubscribed}} {{/userSubscribed}}
{{^userSubscribed}} {{/userSubscribed}} {{^userSubscribed}} {{/userSubscribed}}
{{^userSubscribed}} {{/userSubscribed}} {{^userSubscribed}} {{/userSubscribed}}
News / Business / Latest Business News Live Updates Today, July 11, 2024
Source
News
Jio Financial share price: Should you buy this Reliance group stock on Monday ahead of Q1 FY2024 results?
Q1 2024 Results: Jio Financial Share Price will be in focus on Monday as the Reliance Group company has a fixed board meeting on July 15, 2024 to consider and approve the company’s unaudited standalone and consolidated financial results. Trust Group company informed about the Q1 2024 Results date on Wednesday last week via an exchange filing. According to stock market experts, Jio Financial Services Limited is poised to deliver impressive Q1 results for FY25 on solid operating income. They have forecast a healthy QoQ PAT for the company in Q1 FY25.
Jio Financial Services News
Speaking on the Jio Financial Services Q1 2024 results, Manish Chowdhury, Head of Research, StoxBox, said, “We believe Jio Financial Services is poised to deliver impressive results in Q1FY25 aided by its operating income, which is likely to show robust growth driven by strong investment income, which in turn should lead to healthy PAT growth on a sequential basis. Jio Financial Services continues to make strategic moves such as launching digital products and expanding its ecosystem, with a clear focus on future growth. The company has announced plans to introduce products for lending against stocks and mutual funds, leveraging Jio’s large user base, which could be a significant growth driver in the coming quarters.”
“Furthermore, with the NBFC receiving RBI approval to become a primary investment company, Jio Financial Services is well-positioned to unlock value from its investments. Overall, we expect the company to report robust numbers in the upcoming quarter,” the StoxBox expert added.
Jio Financial Stock Target Price
Speaking about the technical outlook of Jio Financial share price, Ganesh Dongre, Senior Manager, Technical Research at Anand Rathi, said, “Jio Financial Services share price is poised to make a fresh high at the ₹260 apiece level. If the stock breaks above this mark, the Reliance Group stock could make a fresh high by touching the ₹290-₹295 zone. Hence, those with Jio Finance stock in their portfolio are advised to stick to the script by keeping a stop loss at ₹205. If the stock breaks above ₹260 decisively, then one can upgrade the stop loss at ₹240 for the near-term target of ₹295.”
On the advice to new buyers regarding Jio Financial stock, Ganesh Dongre said, “New buyers are advised to wait for the breakout. Once the stock breaks above ₹260, one can buy this Reliance Group stock at the short term target of ₹295, keeping a stop loss of ₹240 apiece.”
Disclaimer: The views and recommendations made above are those of individual analysts or brokerage firms, and not of Mint. Investors are advised to consult with certified experts before making any investment decisions.
3.6 Crore Indians visited in a single day choosing us as India’s undisputed platform for General Election Results. Explore Latest Updates here!
Topics that may interest you
-
DeFi6 months ago
Switchboard Revolutionizes DeFi with New Oracle Aggregator
-
Fintech9 months ago
Fintech unicorn Zeta launches credit as a UPI-linked service for banks
-
DeFi8 months ago
👀 Lido prepares its response to the recovery boom
-
News6 months ago
Latest Business News Live Updates Today, July 11, 2024
-
DeFi6 months ago
Is Zypto Wallet a Reliable Choice for DeFi Users?
-
Fintech6 months ago
FinTech LIVE New York: Mastercard and the Power of Partnership
-
News8 months ago
Salesforce Q1 2025 Earnings Report (CRM)
-
DeFi6 months ago
Ethena downplays danger of letting traders use USDe to back risky bets – DL News
-
News8 months ago
Think Finance Loan Repayment Scam Victims to Get $384 Million
-
ETFs9 months ago
Gold ETFs see first outing after March 2023 at ₹396 cr on profit booking
-
Videos8 months ago
“We will enter the ‘banana zone’ in 2 WEEKS! Cryptocurrency prices will quadruple!” – Raoul Pal
-
Videos9 months ago
PREPARE! Millions of People Will Buy Bitcoin When the “ULTIMATE COLLAPSE” Begins in 2024 – Larry Lepard